I picked this story up from Red State. The WSJ did their last big poll on the electorate back in August. Now, with a week still to go before the Midterms, they’ve come out with their latest poll. They talk a bit about the big shift among Hispanic voters, but the biggest shift of all is among the crucial suburban women demographic:
Remember polling has always been a democratic party weapon. Fake or biased polling to show our guy is ahead when the reality is she/he is even or behind. Also, our guy is ahead so there is no point Republicans, don't bother voting, it's pointless. They are masters at it. Just another example of how the democrats suppress the vote.
That’s why I refuse to acknowledge any poll and get my butt to the voting booth every Election Day. And I tell my friends and family and anyone within earshot the same.
If there are mysterious bushels of ballots that appear overnight from Philadelphia for Fetterman and Shapiro, I am going to explode like a Roman candle. The PA GOP is either working at cross-purposes within the party or is totally clueless, because I have never heard of any of them try to find a way around Dem Tom Wolfe’s vetoes regarding election law.
There are only two pollsters to which I pay any attention: Richard Baris and Robert Cahaly. Watch one episode of Barnes & Baris podcast "What Are the Odds" and you'll understand why. WSJ polls are weak--as are most others--and for the same reason. Baris and Cahaly are the most accurate over the past 4-5 cycles. Over the past few months it's been clear that the bulk of the polling undecideds in congressional races are demographic groups that disapprove strongly of Biden. For example, they had not decided on Masters vs. Kelly, but they hate Biden. How do you think they are going to break?
If you are a political junkie, check out What Are the Odds. It is pure political crack. You will also learn why you need to ignore the vast majority of polls. Very insightful, knowledgeable...and accurate.
Note: wait for Rumble to load the video and then skip to the 5:30 mark (Baris plays some truly annoying song as his lead-in and Rumble doesn't support cueing videos yet):
I'm 90% sure that the GOP will win both houses this week. What I'm less sure about is what they will do with that victory. I'm pessimistic. However, I'm on the other side of the pond, so I'd be very happy to have my mind changed by American commentors.
From the peanut gallery, I would say your pessimism is warranted. Nobody is running on going to Washington to end the war on Russia in Ukraine. Not even the Progressive Caucus in the Democrat party was allowed to question the war. Republicans are not running on ending the mRNA disaster than is unfolding inside their state or outside their state, or the imposition of CBDCs, or the $30 trillion national debt, but I repeat myself. They are running on inflation and crime.
Steve Turley finds more evidence for this trend among figures like Bill Maher and Joe Rogan. This is a fun watch.
https://youtu.be/Kwra3Q_Ho6E
Remember polling has always been a democratic party weapon. Fake or biased polling to show our guy is ahead when the reality is she/he is even or behind. Also, our guy is ahead so there is no point Republicans, don't bother voting, it's pointless. They are masters at it. Just another example of how the democrats suppress the vote.
That’s why I refuse to acknowledge any poll and get my butt to the voting booth every Election Day. And I tell my friends and family and anyone within earshot the same.
If there are mysterious bushels of ballots that appear overnight from Philadelphia for Fetterman and Shapiro, I am going to explode like a Roman candle. The PA GOP is either working at cross-purposes within the party or is totally clueless, because I have never heard of any of them try to find a way around Dem Tom Wolfe’s vetoes regarding election law.
I saw a comment today that the dems in NY are starting to run away from Hochul by pointing that no one voted for her for governor
There are only two pollsters to which I pay any attention: Richard Baris and Robert Cahaly. Watch one episode of Barnes & Baris podcast "What Are the Odds" and you'll understand why. WSJ polls are weak--as are most others--and for the same reason. Baris and Cahaly are the most accurate over the past 4-5 cycles. Over the past few months it's been clear that the bulk of the polling undecideds in congressional races are demographic groups that disapprove strongly of Biden. For example, they had not decided on Masters vs. Kelly, but they hate Biden. How do you think they are going to break?
If you are a political junkie, check out What Are the Odds. It is pure political crack. You will also learn why you need to ignore the vast majority of polls. Very insightful, knowledgeable...and accurate.
Note: wait for Rumble to load the video and then skip to the 5:30 mark (Baris plays some truly annoying song as his lead-in and Rumble doesn't support cueing videos yet):
https://rumble.com/v1q8kuz-barnes-and-baris-episode-60-what-are-the-odds.html
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democrats-fearful-over-where-momentum-going-midterm-elections-former-press-secretary
I'm 90% sure that the GOP will win both houses this week. What I'm less sure about is what they will do with that victory. I'm pessimistic. However, I'm on the other side of the pond, so I'd be very happy to have my mind changed by American commentors.
From the peanut gallery, I would say your pessimism is warranted. Nobody is running on going to Washington to end the war on Russia in Ukraine. Not even the Progressive Caucus in the Democrat party was allowed to question the war. Republicans are not running on ending the mRNA disaster than is unfolding inside their state or outside their state, or the imposition of CBDCs, or the $30 trillion national debt, but I repeat myself. They are running on inflation and crime.
It's just going to be a tad harder to steal the election....
I can already see the boxes of missing ballots mysteriously discovered in closets and trunks, lawsuits, and 'COUNT EVERY VOTE.'