I looked up information about the two bombs dropped on Beirut today:
The Mark 84 can form a crater 50 feet (15 m) wide and 36 ft (11 m) deep. It can penetrate up to 15 inches (38 cm) of metal or 11 ft (3.4 m) of concrete, depending on the height from which it is dropped, and causes lethal fragmentation to a radius of 400 yards.
In 2023 and 2024, the United States transferred over 14,000 Mark 84 bombs to Israel, which used them extensively in the Gaza Strip during the Israel–Hamas War."
I take it that "transferred" means that the US has GIVEN over 14,000 of these bombs to Israel over the past year!
I am a US citizen. I in no way support any if this hell on earth.
I did see SUSIE40 in the air; I didn't see SWORN40, must have had its transponder off at that time. We have regularly been running a USAF Poseidon P-8A & MQ-4C Triton (Grey Eagle, which can be armed...) along the coast of Israel/Lebanon/Syria for weeks. The Brits are running their Beech Shadows & RC-135 Rivet Joints, also, sometimes right over Israel. The US (or UK) saying "we know nothing" is absolute BS or else all of these aviation assets are utterly useless.
Ok so the US will not directly intervene if the war is between Hizbullah and Israel only but if Iran joins in then we will... Israel has climbed up the escalatory ladder almost every day this week and so far the response has been escalatory in terms of the targets and distance from the border but not in scale (although the blows delivered may be more extensive as Israel is in complete media blackout). Iran has also not yet retaliated for the assassination in their capital.
As much as our observer bias is toward revenge and major fireworks I don’t see this escalating to an attack on the Knesset or Dimona, even though that’s possible. If Nasrallah was killed though the bigger missiles may come out, but what I can’t gather from the available information is whether the big bunkers and their launch sites are single use or somehow survivable after what’s sure to be major retaliation from Israel.
Also I can’t tell if Hizbullah has been harmed in the slightest by all this. Surely they knew Israel would hit their bunker. Clearly Israel has moles but they could be double agents and feeding old locations. It’s annoying to think that even when all of this is over we will never know many of these details.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved Friday’s airstrike on Hezbollah’s headquarters in Beirut, Lebanon, from his hotel room in New York City prior to his speech to the United Nations General Assembly. The Prime Minister’s Office released a photograph that it said showed Netanyahu approving the massive airstrike. The massive attack targeted Hezbollah’s underground headquarters in the Dahiyeh neighborhood of Beirut. It was not clear at the time of the photo’s release whether Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah had survived the attack. Netanyahu apparently delivered his address knowing that the attack was under way.
I looked up information about the two bombs dropped on Beirut today:
The Mark 84 can form a crater 50 feet (15 m) wide and 36 ft (11 m) deep. It can penetrate up to 15 inches (38 cm) of metal or 11 ft (3.4 m) of concrete, depending on the height from which it is dropped, and causes lethal fragmentation to a radius of 400 yards.
In 2023 and 2024, the United States transferred over 14,000 Mark 84 bombs to Israel, which used them extensively in the Gaza Strip during the Israel–Hamas War."
I take it that "transferred" means that the US has GIVEN over 14,000 of these bombs to Israel over the past year!
I am a US citizen. I in no way support any if this hell on earth.
I did see SUSIE40 in the air; I didn't see SWORN40, must have had its transponder off at that time. We have regularly been running a USAF Poseidon P-8A & MQ-4C Triton (Grey Eagle, which can be armed...) along the coast of Israel/Lebanon/Syria for weeks. The Brits are running their Beech Shadows & RC-135 Rivet Joints, also, sometimes right over Israel. The US (or UK) saying "we know nothing" is absolute BS or else all of these aviation assets are utterly useless.
Maybe denials of knowledge re the pager terror attack are absolute BS, too.
My starting point these days is "everything we're told is BS" unless they prove otherwise (which they never do). Am I being too cynical lol?
No. Not in this day and age.
My advice.
Remember the old infantry Recon adage
" First report is always suspect."
Enjoy and I am gratful for the intel you provide. Thank you.
Let’s just call it exercising an abundance of caution :-)
Ok so the US will not directly intervene if the war is between Hizbullah and Israel only but if Iran joins in then we will... Israel has climbed up the escalatory ladder almost every day this week and so far the response has been escalatory in terms of the targets and distance from the border but not in scale (although the blows delivered may be more extensive as Israel is in complete media blackout). Iran has also not yet retaliated for the assassination in their capital.
As much as our observer bias is toward revenge and major fireworks I don’t see this escalating to an attack on the Knesset or Dimona, even though that’s possible. If Nasrallah was killed though the bigger missiles may come out, but what I can’t gather from the available information is whether the big bunkers and their launch sites are single use or somehow survivable after what’s sure to be major retaliation from Israel.
Also I can’t tell if Hizbullah has been harmed in the slightest by all this. Surely they knew Israel would hit their bunker. Clearly Israel has moles but they could be double agents and feeding old locations. It’s annoying to think that even when all of this is over we will never know many of these details.
Breitbart:
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved Friday’s airstrike on Hezbollah’s headquarters in Beirut, Lebanon, from his hotel room in New York City prior to his speech to the United Nations General Assembly. The Prime Minister’s Office released a photograph that it said showed Netanyahu approving the massive airstrike. The massive attack targeted Hezbollah’s underground headquarters in the Dahiyeh neighborhood of Beirut. It was not clear at the time of the photo’s release whether Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah had survived the attack. Netanyahu apparently delivered his address knowing that the attack was under way.