So, do I. I suspect there will be lot's of people who will. I would also like to know what Elon is thinking with respect to a new party. Elon's an interesting guy and I think his involvement was like Peter Theil's. A different set of Oligarch's who wanted a foot into the Trump circle to steer things in the direction they want without the bat shit craziness of the Democrats. I guess it depends on whose crazy you embrace.
Yes, it is interesting, but I would quibble with a few things, especially with regard to Iran's approach.
"Rather than relying on expensive ballistic missiles that could be intercepted by advanced air defense systems, Iran launched a coordinated attack using hundreds of cheaper drones and cruise missiles."
Of course, this depends on how much emphasis is put on the word "rely". In fact, Iran had demonstrated months ago in its demonstration attacks that it had ballistics that could blow through any AD systems. It chose for its own reasons--conserving supplies?--in full war mode to mostly use older model ballistics that had been modified in ways that made them somewhat vulnerable to AD. Many of those got through anyway.
The use of ballistics was crucial because of their heavier payloads that could penetrate more deeply and cause far more destruction than lighter non-ballistic cruise missiles and drones are able to do. It was probably the knowledge that Iran's most advanced missiles--missiles that were not design compromises based on old Soviet designs--were still unused that caused USrael to sue for a ceasefire.
Geography is also a factor. Not only does Russia have greater industrial capacity by far than Ukraine, but that capacity can be dispersed over vast distances. The same factor plays a role with Israel - Iran. Iran is able to fairly easily disperse and relocate both launch as well as manufacturing resources in ways that Israel cannot. Israel's resupply from the West is also vulnerable--limited and vulnerable airports and seaports.
Tom seems to very sharp on analyzing central bank money-movement markets. He should keep his lips clamped on cigar and not open his mouth on geopolitical strategy: "Maybe there won't be more war between Iran and Israel because Trump has choreographed a tit-for-tat that satisfied both sides."
Both Tom AND Alex persist in viewing Israeli zionists as "dupes" and tools of the boogie-man City of London. I do not think that is at all accurate: zionists have agency, perhaps the driving force behind- or at least as a manifestation of the goals of the City of London. Furthermore, zionists have been ideologically driven from the beginning and drew in "City of London" for their purposes. Herzl had FIRST spent years attempting to make a bargain with the Ottoman empire and also with Kaiser Wilhelm: the driver was the zionist ideology, not the 'city of London.'
reality is almost always complicated. where the dynamic duo are way offbase is in referring to "the brits" as synonymous with "the city of london" and refusing to acknowledge the central role of jewish bankers in the rise of the british empire, from the napoleonic war on. as well as their central role in attempting to overthrow the russian government from then until now. this article is far from complete:
Thank you, Mark. I'll try to stop annoying w/ references to Tom & Alex.
I think/hope Alex is educable: I view him as committed to humane goals. Well-informed and well-modulated public intellectuals are needed.
Fantasy: a grand conference: Mark Wauck, Ron Unz, Alastair Crooke, Alex Krainer (Krainer because he could host the conference in Monaco!)
PS Just read linked article. Katehon is high-powered thinking-writing. Place at the table for Katehon at (fantasy) conference in Monaco.
Responsible Statecraft just posted, Let's Make a Deal, a proposal for consortium of Iranians and Arab states to enrich uranium, "that US can agree on."
New topic, I know, but why should West Asian states be compelled to seek US agreement?
Inasmuch as history is being robustly revisited, now is a good time to look again at betrayal of Arabs/Ottoman empire at Versailles. Their betrayal was even worse than Germans, and zionists held the upper hand in that maneuvering.
I think the City of London bankers use Zionism to drive their agenda. Think about how they acquired their wealth and power, chaos. They play the chaos betting on both sides trading inside information by infiltrating the targets. Chaos drives markets and governments and with inside information you place your financial bets. Blackrock is growing more powerful by this model.
Thank you for the h/t, Mark, and for your analysis. As you state, Hudson's piece is very good to keep in mind as a description of the empire's strategic considerations.
Thank you! As usual, a good analysis— but is it necessary to follow neoliberal marketing/political crap — “the American brand”. Why is this proliferating? Sorry! This language really upsets me.
What would you suggest to bean alternate model, Lubica? Is this the American brand given both our country and our business model has changed despite what they tell us . The American brand was once captured in the American Creed. We no longer adhere to that creed.
My problem is with the expression “brand” — and it is used everywhere now. No politics, no diplomacy, no dialogue could fit this “model”. It is simply techno-managerial rule defined by beautifying the ugly. And, I wish, I have another suggestion. I do not. We are colonised by language. I just hope that being aware of it (and realising its origin) is one small step to change our understanding. Thank you for your reply.
Perhaps a little light - Perhaps others will now ask for more compassion, more humanity
additional decency and morality
Trump's drive to expand the Abraham Accords hits obstacles as Saudi Arabia now requires clear steps toward Palestinian statehood, while Syria links normalization to negotiations over the Golan Heights | Zvi Bar'el
Very interesting! Thanks. KSA is being very careful in its commitments. "It will be interesting to see how the president, who still hasn't been able to force Netanyahu's hand to end the war in Gaza, will convince Saudi Arabia to make do with humanitarian arrangements in the Strip as a substitute for solving the Palestinian problem."
I understood why Saud loved the US - US had the best weapons and was willing to protect them - at least everyone understood or was led to believe US weapons significantly advanced over the rest
Now Saud has been shown US is not the be all end all - and Russia and China weapons equal or near equal quality and 1/10 the price - Iv'e said before once Ukraine is over Russia will still have incredible weapon production and will be in search of a market - Saud could buy Russian and would buy Russia and would turn from US to Russia/China
US Israel sneak attack on Iran during negotiations will have widespread and long lasting negative repercussions for US - a) lack of reputation and credibility b) their weapons ain't so great
They were able to talk a big big game about the Iron Dome for years
I have long since concluded that Israel is a creation of the Oil Cartel. To understand this, I recommend a book called “The Control of Oil” by Blair. I further hypothesize that Israel no longer serves the purposes of the Oil Cartel now that electric cars and new forms of electrical generation are sharply mitigating the ever-growing thirst for oil. That may be why Israel is being thrown under the bus.
The Blair book reviews the history of the Oil Cartel, which seeks to restrict oil extraction to maintain the monopoly price of oil throughout the world. It originated in the United States after the discovery of the Permian Basin oil flooded the market with cheap gas and oil. This inspired the creation of the “Texas Railroad Commission” that gained dictatorial control over oil drilling in Texas. The oil cartel subsequently sought congressional sanctions for controlling oil production in the United States as well as the “oil depletion allowance” which is the most outrageous tax deduction I ever heard of. Every citizen should read Blair’s book. He describes how Winston Churchill sent British troops to Iraq in 1925 to murder the king, who had pacified the contry and was preparing to exploit its oil assets, and replace him with Saddam Hussein. But Hussein double-crossed the Oil Cartel and began shipping oil to Syria for sales abroad, and then the Cartel rigged the war between Iran and Iraq. The book provides lots of additional details. My theory is that as the international thirst for oil continued to grow, the cartel built a huge artificial island off the coast of Belgium where gigantic oil tankers docked to deliver vast quantities of oil to Europe. But that led to a disastrous fire on the oil dock that killed some 50 people. I suspect that is what inspired the move to “green energy” and electric cars to mitigate the logistics of shipping vast quantities of oil from place to place, and storing it, and selling it before bacteria “spoiled” the oil while it was waiting to be sold and consumed. The purpose of Israel was to keep the various factions in the Middle East fighting with one another so as to sustain the monopoly price of oil, but as electric cars become accepted throughout the world Israel will no longer be needed. Now it’s beginning to appear that the Anglo-American Empire is falling apart, and the impending third Industrial Revolution based on advancing computer technology will soon enable the design and construction of computer controlled manufacturing facilities that will flood the world with toys and gadgets, and eliminate the need for ordinary human labor. Things are changing, and the fumits are beginning to fly from the fan.
The only two sources I found for "lost Israeli drones" were Middle East Monitor and PressTV, both sites not friendly to Israel.
OTOH, The Cradle is generally credible. It posted that Iranians are chasing down agents who carried out the inside work, and confiscating drones warehouses etc.
On regime change, I would think that even the most west-leaning Iranian would finally reject the loss of sovereignty and identity and integrity that goes along with helping the US and Israel assassinate your leaders in order to install a puppet to rule over you. There's got to be some other way out from under sanctions.
So now in the midst of all of this lying, deceit, and gaslighting~the White House has announced that Netanyahu will arrive in D.C. and be greeted by PDJT on July 7.
The news release said the two will discuss Iran, Syria, Gaza, and more.
What kind of timing is this?
The article from Reuters did not say how long Net will stay, or if he will have a sleepover in the White House. Wonder if he will get a special State Dinner...wouldn't that be gauche?
Elon Musk has pledged to support the anti-AIPAC Kentucky Congressman, Thomas Massie against Trump’s well-funded primary challenge.
So, do I. I suspect there will be lot's of people who will. I would also like to know what Elon is thinking with respect to a new party. Elon's an interesting guy and I think his involvement was like Peter Theil's. A different set of Oligarch's who wanted a foot into the Trump circle to steer things in the direction they want without the bat shit craziness of the Democrats. I guess it depends on whose crazy you embrace.
Interesting analysis:
https://aicentral.substack.com/p/five-generations-of-modern-war?
Yes, it is interesting, but I would quibble with a few things, especially with regard to Iran's approach.
"Rather than relying on expensive ballistic missiles that could be intercepted by advanced air defense systems, Iran launched a coordinated attack using hundreds of cheaper drones and cruise missiles."
Of course, this depends on how much emphasis is put on the word "rely". In fact, Iran had demonstrated months ago in its demonstration attacks that it had ballistics that could blow through any AD systems. It chose for its own reasons--conserving supplies?--in full war mode to mostly use older model ballistics that had been modified in ways that made them somewhat vulnerable to AD. Many of those got through anyway.
The use of ballistics was crucial because of their heavier payloads that could penetrate more deeply and cause far more destruction than lighter non-ballistic cruise missiles and drones are able to do. It was probably the knowledge that Iran's most advanced missiles--missiles that were not design compromises based on old Soviet designs--were still unused that caused USrael to sue for a ceasefire.
Geography is also a factor. Not only does Russia have greater industrial capacity by far than Ukraine, but that capacity can be dispersed over vast distances. The same factor plays a role with Israel - Iran. Iran is able to fairly easily disperse and relocate both launch as well as manufacturing resources in ways that Israel cannot. Israel's resupply from the West is also vulnerable--limited and vulnerable airports and seaports.
Tom Luongo-Alex Krainer "It's not you it's me" tour https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6A5FYt72is&t=3709s
Tom seems to very sharp on analyzing central bank money-movement markets. He should keep his lips clamped on cigar and not open his mouth on geopolitical strategy: "Maybe there won't be more war between Iran and Israel because Trump has choreographed a tit-for-tat that satisfied both sides."
Both Tom AND Alex persist in viewing Israeli zionists as "dupes" and tools of the boogie-man City of London. I do not think that is at all accurate: zionists have agency, perhaps the driving force behind- or at least as a manifestation of the goals of the City of London. Furthermore, zionists have been ideologically driven from the beginning and drew in "City of London" for their purposes. Herzl had FIRST spent years attempting to make a bargain with the Ottoman empire and also with Kaiser Wilhelm: the driver was the zionist ideology, not the 'city of London.'
reality is almost always complicated. where the dynamic duo are way offbase is in referring to "the brits" as synonymous with "the city of london" and refusing to acknowledge the central role of jewish bankers in the rise of the british empire, from the napoleonic war on. as well as their central role in attempting to overthrow the russian government from then until now. this article is far from complete:
https://katehon.com/en/article/how-rothschilds-helped-create-third-reich-and-israel
Thank you, Mark. I'll try to stop annoying w/ references to Tom & Alex.
I think/hope Alex is educable: I view him as committed to humane goals. Well-informed and well-modulated public intellectuals are needed.
Fantasy: a grand conference: Mark Wauck, Ron Unz, Alastair Crooke, Alex Krainer (Krainer because he could host the conference in Monaco!)
PS Just read linked article. Katehon is high-powered thinking-writing. Place at the table for Katehon at (fantasy) conference in Monaco.
Responsible Statecraft just posted, Let's Make a Deal, a proposal for consortium of Iranians and Arab states to enrich uranium, "that US can agree on."
https://responsiblestatecraft.org/iran-nuclear-consortium/
New topic, I know, but why should West Asian states be compelled to seek US agreement?
Inasmuch as history is being robustly revisited, now is a good time to look again at betrayal of Arabs/Ottoman empire at Versailles. Their betrayal was even worse than Germans, and zionists held the upper hand in that maneuvering.
I think the City of London bankers use Zionism to drive their agenda. Think about how they acquired their wealth and power, chaos. They play the chaos betting on both sides trading inside information by infiltrating the targets. Chaos drives markets and governments and with inside information you place your financial bets. Blackrock is growing more powerful by this model.
Yes, Michael Hudson is spot on. Maybe the community is also interested in this new page: https://forumgeopolitica.com/de
We regularly comment these topics.
My motto: Ex oriente lux.
Thank you for the h/t, Mark, and for your analysis. As you state, Hudson's piece is very good to keep in mind as a description of the empire's strategic considerations.
Thank you! As usual, a good analysis— but is it necessary to follow neoliberal marketing/political crap — “the American brand”. Why is this proliferating? Sorry! This language really upsets me.
What would you suggest to bean alternate model, Lubica? Is this the American brand given both our country and our business model has changed despite what they tell us . The American brand was once captured in the American Creed. We no longer adhere to that creed.
My problem is with the expression “brand” — and it is used everywhere now. No politics, no diplomacy, no dialogue could fit this “model”. It is simply techno-managerial rule defined by beautifying the ugly. And, I wish, I have another suggestion. I do not. We are colonised by language. I just hope that being aware of it (and realising its origin) is one small step to change our understanding. Thank you for your reply.
.
- Repercussions of an Iranian Victory -
Iran has shown strength and US Israel weakness
Perhaps a little light - Perhaps others will now ask for more compassion, more humanity
additional decency and morality
Trump's drive to expand the Abraham Accords hits obstacles as Saudi Arabia now requires clear steps toward Palestinian statehood, while Syria links normalization to negotiations over the Golan Heights | Zvi Bar'el
https://x.com/haaretzcom/status/1939832572709597362
Full Story Archived
https://archive.ph/4HJ1W
Very interesting! Thanks. KSA is being very careful in its commitments. "It will be interesting to see how the president, who still hasn't been able to force Netanyahu's hand to end the war in Gaza, will convince Saudi Arabia to make do with humanitarian arrangements in the Strip as a substitute for solving the Palestinian problem."
I understood why Saud loved the US - US had the best weapons and was willing to protect them - at least everyone understood or was led to believe US weapons significantly advanced over the rest
Now Saud has been shown US is not the be all end all - and Russia and China weapons equal or near equal quality and 1/10 the price - Iv'e said before once Ukraine is over Russia will still have incredible weapon production and will be in search of a market - Saud could buy Russian and would buy Russia and would turn from US to Russia/China
US Israel sneak attack on Iran during negotiations will have widespread and long lasting negative repercussions for US - a) lack of reputation and credibility b) their weapons ain't so great
They were able to talk a big big game about the Iron Dome for years
Not any longer.
.
bad link this may work
https://archive.ph/rZE1h
The “Middle Corridor” is also an attempt to bypass Russia and Iran.
Turkey and Azerbaijan are the big players here, knocking over Armenia was a big step.
Wasn't Raisi traveling from Azerbaijan when his helicopter was so tragically, unaccountably lost in the clouds?
Not FROM but very near the border.
I have long since concluded that Israel is a creation of the Oil Cartel. To understand this, I recommend a book called “The Control of Oil” by Blair. I further hypothesize that Israel no longer serves the purposes of the Oil Cartel now that electric cars and new forms of electrical generation are sharply mitigating the ever-growing thirst for oil. That may be why Israel is being thrown under the bus.
"why Israel is being thrown under the bus."
When did that happen?
The Blair book reviews the history of the Oil Cartel, which seeks to restrict oil extraction to maintain the monopoly price of oil throughout the world. It originated in the United States after the discovery of the Permian Basin oil flooded the market with cheap gas and oil. This inspired the creation of the “Texas Railroad Commission” that gained dictatorial control over oil drilling in Texas. The oil cartel subsequently sought congressional sanctions for controlling oil production in the United States as well as the “oil depletion allowance” which is the most outrageous tax deduction I ever heard of. Every citizen should read Blair’s book. He describes how Winston Churchill sent British troops to Iraq in 1925 to murder the king, who had pacified the contry and was preparing to exploit its oil assets, and replace him with Saddam Hussein. But Hussein double-crossed the Oil Cartel and began shipping oil to Syria for sales abroad, and then the Cartel rigged the war between Iran and Iraq. The book provides lots of additional details. My theory is that as the international thirst for oil continued to grow, the cartel built a huge artificial island off the coast of Belgium where gigantic oil tankers docked to deliver vast quantities of oil to Europe. But that led to a disastrous fire on the oil dock that killed some 50 people. I suspect that is what inspired the move to “green energy” and electric cars to mitigate the logistics of shipping vast quantities of oil from place to place, and storing it, and selling it before bacteria “spoiled” the oil while it was waiting to be sold and consumed. The purpose of Israel was to keep the various factions in the Middle East fighting with one another so as to sustain the monopoly price of oil, but as electric cars become accepted throughout the world Israel will no longer be needed. Now it’s beginning to appear that the Anglo-American Empire is falling apart, and the impending third Industrial Revolution based on advancing computer technology will soon enable the design and construction of computer controlled manufacturing facilities that will flood the world with toys and gadgets, and eliminate the need for ordinary human labor. Things are changing, and the fumits are beginning to fly from the fan.
"computer controlled manufacturing facilities ...wil eliminate the need for ordinary human labor."
Can anyone recommend a computer program that will replace the leaky faucet in the kitchen, or clean the basement, or paint the guest room ceiling?
Paragraph divisions are your friend.
And ours.
The only two sources I found for "lost Israeli drones" were Middle East Monitor and PressTV, both sites not friendly to Israel.
OTOH, The Cradle is generally credible. It posted that Iranians are chasing down agents who carried out the inside work, and confiscating drones warehouses etc.
https://thecradle.co/articles/iran-confiscates-thousands-of-small-drones-as-crackdown-on-mossad-cells-intensifies
Yeah, I see that some commenters challenged Thomas Keith on that.
On regime change, I would think that even the most west-leaning Iranian would finally reject the loss of sovereignty and identity and integrity that goes along with helping the US and Israel assassinate your leaders in order to install a puppet to rule over you. There's got to be some other way out from under sanctions.
Swag…
- bbb bill approval was part of Israeli attack timing, due to increased leverage this gave Congress and their aipac handlers.
- China Iran rail route reduces threat, ability to embargo trade, compared to existing sea route.
- Israel did not expect extent of economic damage. It shut down Israel’s economy for 12 days and a lot of economic sites were hit.
- Israel was surprised by resilience of Iranian leadership.
- Israel was surprised by Israeli drone losses.
- Israel was surprised by Iranian attrition strategy that was economically devastating. They expected one massive attack.
- Israel was surprised by accuracy and damage of Iranian attacks.
The message to any country being targeted by the GAE is clear: join BRICS, get nukes and don't trust any deal.
So now in the midst of all of this lying, deceit, and gaslighting~the White House has announced that Netanyahu will arrive in D.C. and be greeted by PDJT on July 7.
The news release said the two will discuss Iran, Syria, Gaza, and more.
What kind of timing is this?
The article from Reuters did not say how long Net will stay, or if he will have a sleepover in the White House. Wonder if he will get a special State Dinner...wouldn't that be gauche?
. It is the Zelensky Factor
They will discuss $$$$$$$$$
Netanyahy will beg for $$$$$$$ [ probably not have to beg too hard US will give it freely]
This is about nothing more than $$$$$$$$$
Netanyahu is desperate for money -
How much money will you give us for Gaza, How much money will you give us for Iran, How much money will you give us for Syria
--- Trump will sell his great victory over Iran as the reason Israel needs more $$$$$$
.
I can't recall Netanyahu ever having had to BEG for money.
Congress will be begging him to take it.
it's probably already lined up and the check written and already signed
Netanyahu just here to pick it up
On topic:
Rachel Blevins interviews DD Geopolitics' Sarah Bils:
The US-Israel Plan to ISOLATE Iran, CONTROL Middle East, Rule Gaza Through Technocracy
https://open.substack.com/pub/rachelblevins/p/abraham-shield-israel-iran-sarah-bils?r=2vzf0g&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
I wonder if Trump will hold the chair for him again.
I held out hope. For a little while. That the gesture was meant to be seen as a man holds a chair for a woman.
Gag.
No one wants to see that again!
If Mrs. Net is along, then Melania would have to be there as hostess.
We haven't seen much of Melania--just at the military parade.
The Big Problem with the Current Scheme= Waited Too Late.
There is no catching up to China on the Economic Front.
There is no catching up to Russia on the Military Front.
Time to make Friends, Instead of Enemies.
The Choice is for All Countries to Float Economically, or All Sink Together.