I came across this analysis of Hezbollah strategy in the current situation, from the perspective of a student of Hezbollah. I pass it along because it gets us past a lot of the usual talking points. As I wrote yesterday, I continue to regard much of the rhetoric emanating from the US and Israel as bluff—attempts to pressure the Lebanese government and/or Hezbollah.
Biden is of course worse because he’s not even in charge and all his rhetoric about stopping Israeli genocide is just for political purposes in an election year. RFK Jr is no better either. Sheesh 🙄
Trump scares me on Israel. He thinks or will be told the U.S. military is up to the task when it is not. He is a staunch supporter of Israel so we have no idea the trouble he could cause.
I'm pretty sure the IDF is low on ammunition. I think thats the real meaning of Netanyahu's complaints about the US not delivering weapons. I don't think they have the shells necessary for a ground incursion into Lebanon. In jan 2023 the US cleared out it's prepositioned ammunition stocks in Israel (and S Korea) and sent them to Ukraine. If you look a little deeper you find that IDF had to draw from these US stocks for both their 2006 and 2014 war. Indicating that they never had a lot of ammo on their own and always relied on US supply.
Biden is of course worse because he’s not even in charge and all his rhetoric about stopping Israeli genocide is just for political purposes in an election year. RFK Jr is no better either. Sheesh 🙄
Trump scares me on Israel. He thinks or will be told the U.S. military is up to the task when it is not. He is a staunch supporter of Israel so we have no idea the trouble he could cause.
I agree.
I'm pretty sure the IDF is low on ammunition. I think thats the real meaning of Netanyahu's complaints about the US not delivering weapons. I don't think they have the shells necessary for a ground incursion into Lebanon. In jan 2023 the US cleared out it's prepositioned ammunition stocks in Israel (and S Korea) and sent them to Ukraine. If you look a little deeper you find that IDF had to draw from these US stocks for both their 2006 and 2014 war. Indicating that they never had a lot of ammo on their own and always relied on US supply.
Great points. Which points toward all the rhetoric being mostly bluff. And if we can figure this out, professionals out there know it for sure.