Israel reporting Sinwar killed in Gaza. While I might otherwise expect, as with other assassinations, an Iran-involved retaliatory strike, it seems that IL is "on the clock" in the tit-for-tat escalation right now.
China has a good argument--no doubt resonates around the world:
Chen Weihua （陈卫华）@chenweihua
Shocking: US keeps bombing from country to country, waging war after war, supplying weapons and bombs to enable genocide, plotting regime change in various capitals and building military bases all over the world, yet Washington keeps telling people that China is aggressive, belligerent and the biggest threat. Are they trying to fool people with low IQ like themselves???? China has done nothing remotely like the above.
Obviously that stuff about winning hearts and minds was just gaslighting.
Abe - Not Shinzo affiliated @Abesnewat
The US going all out using the most expensive and most advanced weapons ever built to attack the poorest country in the Middle East all for standing against genocide.
MenchOsint @MenchOsint
The US Air Force used the B-2 Stealth Bomber yesterday during airstrikes on Yemen.
Underground facilities were targeted with 5 x GBU-57 Bunker Buster bombs (2.4 tons warhead).
It is said that the US had only 20 GBU-57, now 15.
Ray: Seems like every day brings some new revelations about just how big of a dirtbag Pompeo was in reality. With people like this around him, it’s a certified miracle that Trump got anything done during his term.
Iran will respond based on what Putin tells them how to respond. One team has nukes. US (Neocons) will not allow Israel to lose. Military intervention… not likely. Stalemate? Highly likely. Israel lose face? Temporary. Change in Middle East status quo? Very likely.
A stalemate means Israel is losing. Every day their economy is getting weaker and weaker. The Houthi blockade, Herzbolla missiles, and the reserve call ups.
The Israeli tactic is establish deterrence by huge attacks on their enemy, basically terrorism. Gaza has been razed. Lebanon is being bombed. Syria is still divided and devastated by a civil war. Limited attacks against the Houthis.
The tactic is not working against the Houthis or Iranians. The Iranians have shown they have a greater missile capability than Israel, and that Israel’s missile shield can be pierced. And Russian missile and drone defenses work, where Western ones are minimally effective. And the West is running out of counter missiles.
And Hamas and Herzbolla have redefined victory as just surviving. And the ground attacks into Lebanon are not working.
My guess Russian attacks against Ukrainian fortifications work because of massive glide bombs. Israel just does not have that capability to take out Herzbolla fortifications.
I believe a stalemate (considered Israel losing) does allow it to survive, possibly to fight another day, maintains US support etc... even if de-graded IMO e.g. economically, etc...
The current geopolitical situation is highly fluid and the status quo will not remain--not even in a degraded form. Well, that's my prediction. America, one way or another, will be forced to focus on its own very real problems.
The obvious way out for Israel would have been to negotiate with the parties most directly involved. They have refused to do so and now, as Mac points out, it may be too late. Another big mistake, which Zionist geniuses thought would solve the problem, was to grow the population by importing all those Russian Jews--remember, the first big Neocon project that Hudson describes. It turns out that those people are totally crazy and they tipped the demographic balance of Israeli society over to the crazies. Any hope for a peaceful compromise solution went out the window.
""" Putin is known to have approved the draft agreement as far back as September 18. What is holding back the signing ceremony begs an explanation. Pezeshkian proposed that the ceremony could take place in Kazan. But the Russian side is dragging its feet. """
That conversation is certainly food for thought. I actually can't imagine that the Russians haven't gamed out a "worst case scenario". Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. They are pragmatic and realistic and will be well prepared to try and keep it from going full-blown WWWIII while trying to provide Iran with what it needs to protect itself; destruction/defeat of Iran would also be a major blow to Russia (and China). As Schyver himself once said about Russia, China and Iran: "don't F around with ancient civilizations". Considering the amount of flights (VIP planes, not military/cargo) I've seen between Moscow & Tehran the past 2 weeks, I'm going to assume that face-to-face meetings like these are for serious discussion and planning.
Seymour Hersh posted an article today about the history of Iran's nuclear activities/program & possibility of their having/developing nuclear weapons. Its something he's followed for years with sources in the IAEA. His conclusion? NOPE. But do they need to develop their own?
And finally: if Israel starts heading towards actual kinetics, I think that Russia has figured out in Ukraine that air strips are readily disabled. That seems like the easy way to keep the Israeli air force out of Iran.
Israel reporting Sinwar killed in Gaza. While I might otherwise expect, as with other assassinations, an Iran-involved retaliatory strike, it seems that IL is "on the clock" in the tit-for-tat escalation right now.
-- GEROMAN -- time will tell -  --
@GeromanAT
The Russian Foreign Ministry stated that Moscow has warned Israel against attacking Iran’s nuclear sites.
China has a good argument--no doubt resonates around the world:
Chen Weihua （陈卫华）@chenweihua
Shocking: US keeps bombing from country to country, waging war after war, supplying weapons and bombs to enable genocide, plotting regime change in various capitals and building military bases all over the world, yet Washington keeps telling people that China is aggressive, belligerent and the biggest threat. Are they trying to fool people with low IQ like themselves???? China has done nothing remotely like the above.
Obviously that stuff about winning hearts and minds was just gaslighting.
Abe - Not Shinzo affiliated @Abesnewat
The US going all out using the most expensive and most advanced weapons ever built to attack the poorest country in the Middle East all for standing against genocide.
MenchOsint @MenchOsint
The US Air Force used the B-2 Stealth Bomber yesterday during airstrikes on Yemen.
Underground facilities were targeted with 5 x GBU-57 Bunker Buster bombs (2.4 tons warhead).
It is said that the US had only 20 GBU-57, now 15.
Will this make Israel safer ? I doubt.
Megatron @Megatron_ron
NEW:
 Iran is laughing at the new THAAD air defense system that the US has deployed in Israel.
American Thaad defense system won't be able to save Israel - Chief of Revolutionary Guards
'We know your Weaknesses and Vulnerabilities and you know it too. Thaad will not be able to Save you and we will Strike any Target we Want'
More evidence of the Ukrainian money spigot to powerful uniparty members and/ or family.
Mike Pompeo is in the board of a Ukrainian telecom company:
https://www.veon.com/newsroom/press-releases/veon-and-kyivstar-welcome-former-us-secretary-of-state-and-kyivstar-board-member-mike-pompeo-to-ukraine
Simplicius mentioned a prank call with Pompeo he has something to do with a bank involved in Ukraine and buying up enterprises.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/P8LmjiAcyEET
Best government money can buy. It's the American way.
Ray: Seems like every day brings some new revelations about just how big of a dirtbag Pompeo was in reality. With people like this around him, it’s a certified miracle that Trump got anything done during his term.
Iran will respond based on what Putin tells them how to respond. One team has nukes. US (Neocons) will not allow Israel to lose. Military intervention… not likely. Stalemate? Highly likely. Israel lose face? Temporary. Change in Middle East status quo? Very likely.
A stalemate means Israel is losing. Every day their economy is getting weaker and weaker. The Houthi blockade, Herzbolla missiles, and the reserve call ups.
The Israeli tactic is establish deterrence by huge attacks on their enemy, basically terrorism. Gaza has been razed. Lebanon is being bombed. Syria is still divided and devastated by a civil war. Limited attacks against the Houthis.
The tactic is not working against the Houthis or Iranians. The Iranians have shown they have a greater missile capability than Israel, and that Israel’s missile shield can be pierced. And Russian missile and drone defenses work, where Western ones are minimally effective. And the West is running out of counter missiles.
And Hamas and Herzbolla have redefined victory as just surviving. And the ground attacks into Lebanon are not working.
My guess Russian attacks against Ukrainian fortifications work because of massive glide bombs. Israel just does not have that capability to take out Herzbolla fortifications.
I believe a stalemate (considered Israel losing) does allow it to survive, possibly to fight another day, maintains US support etc... even if de-graded IMO e.g. economically, etc...
The current geopolitical situation is highly fluid and the status quo will not remain--not even in a degraded form. Well, that's my prediction. America, one way or another, will be forced to focus on its own very real problems.
The obvious way out for Israel would have been to negotiate with the parties most directly involved. They have refused to do so and now, as Mac points out, it may be too late. Another big mistake, which Zionist geniuses thought would solve the problem, was to grow the population by importing all those Russian Jews--remember, the first big Neocon project that Hudson describes. It turns out that those people are totally crazy and they tipped the demographic balance of Israeli society over to the crazies. Any hope for a peaceful compromise solution went out the window.
The fallacy here is that the US can decide anything. It cannot. Game is over.
"Geopolitical considerations continue to prevail in Russia’s arms transfers with Iran."
Iv'e previously disagreed with Will Shyrver, and provided links to back it up
initially he did admit error but then in subsequent disagreement ( with links )
Instead of a reply I was " blocked " by Schryver
I again disagree with Shryver, there is no proof of what he professes
eg: Schryver claims """ Iran and Russia have concluded a mutual defense pact. """
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/ Smoothie previously gave Shryver a good dressing down
it was a bit embarrasing I am sure
Rest assured this article by October 14, 2024 by M. K. BHADRAKUMAR
has a greater learned position then Schryver
https://www.indianpunchline.com/between-russia-and-iran-all-is-well-that-ends-well/
""" Putin is known to have approved the draft agreement as far back as September 18. What is holding back the signing ceremony begs an explanation. Pezeshkian proposed that the ceremony could take place in Kazan. But the Russian side is dragging its feet. """
Megatron @Megatron_ron
NEW:
 Iran's Foreign Minister arrives in Cairo, marking the first visit by an Iranian foreign minister to Egypt in nearly 12 years.
Wow.
That conversation is certainly food for thought. I actually can't imagine that the Russians haven't gamed out a "worst case scenario". Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. They are pragmatic and realistic and will be well prepared to try and keep it from going full-blown WWWIII while trying to provide Iran with what it needs to protect itself; destruction/defeat of Iran would also be a major blow to Russia (and China). As Schyver himself once said about Russia, China and Iran: "don't F around with ancient civilizations". Considering the amount of flights (VIP planes, not military/cargo) I've seen between Moscow & Tehran the past 2 weeks, I'm going to assume that face-to-face meetings like these are for serious discussion and planning.
Seymour Hersh posted an article today about the history of Iran's nuclear activities/program & possibility of their having/developing nuclear weapons. Its something he's followed for years with sources in the IAEA. His conclusion? NOPE. But do they need to develop their own?
I can't vouch for the veracity of this, but I saw the link in another article & thought I'd share it just for the sake of conversation. Iranian parliament supposedly discussing a written "pact" amongst the resistance: https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/504686/Iranian-parliament-drafting-Resistance-pact-to-bolster-regional
"face-to-face meetings like these are for serious discussion and planning. "
Thanks mark.
They all make some great points about the general theme of conflict being resolved with minimal bloodshed via bold and decisive actions.
But in the Russian/Ukranian conflict, many such actions have occurred, but the grinding attrition continues.
<i>The question isn't "will it happen" but "is Russia likely to have developed a plan vs the Samson Option</i>
To paraphrase Andrei Martyanov: Russians don’t take a dump without a plan…
Megatron @Megatron_ron
NEW:
 The most fierce battles are taking place right now on the Lebanese-Israeli border since the invasion began
The Israelis are suffering significant losses in personnel, evac helicopters have not stopped transporting soldiers to hospitals for the past hours.
Israeli media reports that 49 soldiers have been taken to hospitals today, most likely the number is much higher.
2:38 PM · Oct 16, 2024
·
19 days to the election.
I’m sure the Biden Administration is seeking no escalations till after the election in Ukraine or Israel.
Israel on the other hand will see this as a period of huge leverage.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israels-iran-attack-plans-ready-will-happen-us-election-officials
Posturing leverage.
And finally: if Israel starts heading towards actual kinetics, I think that Russia has figured out in Ukraine that air strips are readily disabled. That seems like the easy way to keep the Israeli air force out of Iran.
Airstrips are readily repaired.