I don’t want to speculate on the current military situation in Ukraine because a lot remains unclear—speculation on events that are uncertain isn’t what this substack is about.
With all of the military and strategic brilliance that has been on display since the beginning of this situation, it absolutely wouldn’t surprise me if we “accidentally” stumble into a nuclear war. Of course it would be totally “ unexpected”.
I forgot who you were quoting Mark, but they were convinced that we were closer to the possibility of a nuclear war now than at any time since the Cuban Missile Crisis—-I agree with that assessment.
The most dangerous point is where one side is about to lose. My main worry has been that as Ukraine faces defeat, NATO will be tempted to step in with air attacks to stop it, leading to a nuclear conflagration. This could happen the other way, too, though- Russia losing the battle in Ukraine, leading to them escalating into a scorched earth policy of leveling Kiev with a tactical nuke, again leading to the end of the world. This is a war that should have been stopped last Fall, but we are led by clowns today.
Aarrgh! You just reminded me of the point that I forgot to include. Just a few days ago--interesting, the timing--the head military guy in Ukraine warned that Russia could go nuclear if it seems to be losing. Coincidence?
With all of the military and strategic brilliance that has been on display since the beginning of this situation, it absolutely wouldn’t surprise me if we “accidentally” stumble into a nuclear war. Of course it would be totally “ unexpected”.
I forgot who you were quoting Mark, but they were convinced that we were closer to the possibility of a nuclear war now than at any time since the Cuban Missile Crisis—-I agree with that assessment.
Putin is a big believer in “never let a crises go to waste”.
I wonder what changes will happen due to this?
https://bigserge.substack.com/p/ukraine-counterattacks
Interesting map of a future Ukraine.
I wonder where the major ammunition / weapon factories were located at the start of this war in the Ukraine.
It makes a lot of sense to me.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBm1n5yNVO4&ab_channel=JudgeNapolitano-JudgingFreedom
The most dangerous point is where one side is about to lose. My main worry has been that as Ukraine faces defeat, NATO will be tempted to step in with air attacks to stop it, leading to a nuclear conflagration. This could happen the other way, too, though- Russia losing the battle in Ukraine, leading to them escalating into a scorched earth policy of leveling Kiev with a tactical nuke, again leading to the end of the world. This is a war that should have been stopped last Fall, but we are led by clowns today.
Aarrgh! You just reminded me of the point that I forgot to include. Just a few days ago--interesting, the timing--the head military guy in Ukraine warned that Russia could go nuclear if it seems to be losing. Coincidence?