There’s a low rumble of speculation ongoing over the drone attack on the Kremlin. Some say Russia has taken a page out of their book on US history—the chapter on the Tonkin Gulf Incident. Others say, No, it really was a Ukrainian attack. Still others suggest that, if it was the Ukrainians, then it only went ahead with US approval and, perhaps, assistance. All these analysts point to Zelensky’s current peregrinations as a possible sign that he’s staying abroad to avoid a retaliatory strike against himself personally (courtesy Simplicius):
Much as Ike’s “Broad Front” prioritized destroying the German army in the field over a race to Berlin, Russia is destroying the Ukrainian army in the field by not racing to Kiev, the destruction of which is of a much lower priority than destroying any military capability that conceivably could be used in the future by Ukraine or NATO against Russia.
The German army has never recovered from the Broad Front. Nor will Ukraine’s. It seems our current generation of “leaders” has zero grasp of military history, even of the prior large land battle in Europe, a battle waged in the living memory of many of these leaders.
Make no mistake, this is a tipping point; the clumsy attempt on Putin’s life jolts the kaleidoscope beyond recognition. The only comforting thought is that the Kremlin leadership is not going to be driven by emotion. The considered Kremlin reaction is available from the remarks by the Russian Ambassador to the US, Anatoly Antonov:
“How would Americans react if a drone hit the White House, the Capitol or the Pentagon? The answer is obvious for any politician as well as for an average citizen: the punishment will be harsh and inevitable.”
The ambassador went on to draw the bottom line: “Russia will respond to this insolent and presumptuous terrorist attack. We will answer when we consider it necessary. We will answer in accordance with the assessments of the threat that Kiev posed to the leadership of our country.”
No knee-jerk reactions are to be expected. Nonetheless, the scaling down of the Victory Day celebrations on the Red Square itself must have been a difficult decision. The Victory Day on May 9 is the most important holiday in Russia when the public and the state come together in a patriotic celebration during which people remember their family members who sacrificed their lives to defeat Nazism.
Much as Ike’s “Broad Front” prioritized destroying the German army in the field over a race to Berlin, Russia is destroying the Ukrainian army in the field by not racing to Kiev, the destruction of which is of a much lower priority than destroying any military capability that conceivably could be used in the future by Ukraine or NATO against Russia.
The German army has never recovered from the Broad Front. Nor will Ukraine’s. It seems our current generation of “leaders” has zero grasp of military history, even of the prior large land battle in Europe, a battle waged in the living memory of many of these leaders.
https://www.indianpunchline.com/zelensky-regimes-fate-is-sealed/
Make no mistake, this is a tipping point; the clumsy attempt on Putin’s life jolts the kaleidoscope beyond recognition. The only comforting thought is that the Kremlin leadership is not going to be driven by emotion. The considered Kremlin reaction is available from the remarks by the Russian Ambassador to the US, Anatoly Antonov:
“How would Americans react if a drone hit the White House, the Capitol or the Pentagon? The answer is obvious for any politician as well as for an average citizen: the punishment will be harsh and inevitable.”
The ambassador went on to draw the bottom line: “Russia will respond to this insolent and presumptuous terrorist attack. We will answer when we consider it necessary. We will answer in accordance with the assessments of the threat that Kiev posed to the leadership of our country.”
No knee-jerk reactions are to be expected. Nonetheless, the scaling down of the Victory Day celebrations on the Red Square itself must have been a difficult decision. The Victory Day on May 9 is the most important holiday in Russia when the public and the state come together in a patriotic celebration during which people remember their family members who sacrificed their lives to defeat Nazism.
For a strongly expressed view that this was a CIA op intended to greenlight Russia taking out Zelensky:
https://twitter.com/ejmalrai/status/1653778992984387585
Hey, interesting speculation.