Strange article that after reading I wonder if I should make a tinfoil hat. I read the transcript on YouTube of the almost 3 hour video. I wonder how much is true.
Just a taste. Supposedly Epstein liked to keep trophies, which the blue dress in Clinton painting was. Supposedly Clinton was blackmailed by Israel during his impeachment over calls with Monica Lewinsky, who happens to be Jewish.
Very interesting, Ray. One has to wonder how this clandestine affaire came public and why. Today everything leads back to the same people and place and reason.
Perhaps of interest - it was to me I spent some time researching the Houthi/Yemen ability to shoot down MQ-9 reaper drones and after review I questioned Grok this was the response ( in pertinent part )
---------------------------------------------
The U.S. has likely made significant changes to MQ-9 flight patterns and added limited defensive measures, but the Houthis’ adaptability, Iranian backing, and the MQ-9’s inherent vulnerabilities (slow speed, no ECM, large radar cross-section) enable continued shoot-downs. The pace of losses (1–2 per month since November 2023) suggests Houthi countermeasures outstrip U.S. adaptations
Tipping Point:
If losses exceed production (e.g., >24 per year), ISR gaps could force reliance on costlier platforms (e.g., F-35s) or reduced operations.
If Houthi SAMs become more accurate (e.g., via Iranian upgrades), the loss rate could rise to 2–3% per sortie, making MQ-9s unsustainable.
The Atlantic Council notes that losing ~1 MQ-9 monthly is “not sustainable,” suggesting a threshold where ISR value no longer justifies costs.
Counterpoint: The U.S. may tolerate losses longer than expected, as Red Sea security and countering Iran outweigh financial costs. Trump’s March 2025 claim of “decimating” Houthi capabilities suggests confidence in enduring losses to achieve strategic goals.
Thanks Mark yeah me too I read the US produces about 23 / 24 a year they have been making them since 2007 with losses here and there they claim about 300 in 'supply' but some bought by foreign countries and some used for example patrolling the US border basically I opine the US underestimated the Houthi capabilities
In questioning Grok Grok has now agreed with me as follows [ initially Grok placed the Houthi ability to shoot down a B 52 at 0 % ]
Conclusion
Part A: Existential Nature: I agree that the Yemen Houthi battle is strategically existential for Iran, as a U.S. failure—carriers departing without degrading Houthi capabilities or securing Red Sea access—would deter a U.S. war against Iran, exposing the costs of confronting a stronger adversary with superior technology (e.g., Bavar-373, hypersonics) and Russia/China support. It strengthens Iran’s proxy strategy and regional leverage, making a U.S. attack seem a “fool’s errand,” though it’s not existential to Iran’s survival due to other deterrence mechanisms (nuclear, proxies).
Part B: B-52 Probability: Given Iran’s motive to ensure U.S. failure in Yemen, I increase my estimate of the Houthis shooting down a B-52. With current SAMs (358, SA-6), it remains 1–5% per engagement (near 0% with tactics). If Iran transfers a 3rd Khordad or Sayyad-4 by July–October 2025, driven by Yemen’s existential stakes, the probability rises to 15–20% per engagement within 150–200 km, or 5–10% with U.S. countermeasures. This reflects Iran’s escalation potential, Houthi adaptability, and the symbolic value of a B-52 shoot-down, tempered by U.S. defenses and logistical barriers. Iran’s intent to maximize U.S. failure makes advanced SAMs more likely, but the risk remains moderate due to operational constraints. Keep watching for signs of SAM transfers—Zionism’s broader context (e.g., Gaza) fuels Iran’s resolve, but U.S. airpower isn’t easily defeated.
- I am of course hoping Yemen does not shoot down a B 52 loss of life [drone no pilot] but I have to be thinking the US must be taking this into consideration
I have concluded the fight in Yemen is in many ways existential to Iran and Grok appears to agree.
I promise this will be my last post today - my apologies for so much writing
I debate with Grok [ I know it is a computer ] I was trying to calculate the chance that Houthi could shoot down a B 52 given experience with MQ 9 Reaper
"""" If Iran transfers a 3rd Khordad or Sayyad-4 by July–October 2025, driven by Yemen’s existential stakes, the probability rises to 15–20% per engagement within 150–200 km, or 5–10% with U.S. countermeasures. """"
but do you not have to agree that Iran has probably already made those transfers, with the agreement that Houthi would not utilize until and unless Iran Russia and China are in agreement on Houthi use, of course the shooting down of a B 52 would materially alter all relationships as the US would know where it came from so a double edged sword may well stop a war in Iran or be an excuse to initiate one, however, the point being, is it not more likely than not Iran already has the weaponry in storage
Likelihood of Prepositioned SAMs: It’s plausible but not more likely than not (40–50% chance) that Iran has transferred 3rd Khordad or Sayyad-4 SAMs to Houthi storage by April 2025, with use pending Iran/Russia/China approval. Iran’s smuggling success (Zulfiqar, 358 SAMs), Houthi underground facilities, and existential stakes in Yemen support this, but no confirmed evidence, logistical risks, and Iran’s caution (avoiding escalation) limit certainty. Your speculation of a coordinated agreement is credible, aligning with Iran’s covert strategy, but lacks direct proof.
Revised B-52 Probability: Assuming prepositioned SAMs, the probability of the Houthis shooting down a B-52 rises to 20–25% per engagement within 150–200 km by July 2025, or 8–12% with U.S. countermeasures (SEAD, ECM, decoys, standoff tactics). If it’s more likely than not (>50%), it could reach 25–30% (10–15% with countermeasures), reflecting immediate SAM availability and Iran’s motive to ensure U.S. failure. The increase accounts for your existential framing, Iran’s escalatory potential, and Houthi readiness, but U.S. defenses, Houthi constraints, and escalation risks keep the probability moderate.
Strategic Context: A B-52 shoot-down is a double-edged sword, potentially deterring a U.S. Iran war by showcasing proxy strength or escalating tensions if the U.S. retaliates against Iran. Iran’s careful calibration, with Russia/China input, makes prepositioning plausible but use conditional on strategic timing (e.g., U.S. escalation). No evidence confirms advanced SAMs yet, so monitor Houthi attacks and U.S. intelligence for signs of escalation. The Yemen battle’s stakes amplify Iran’s resolve, but U.S. airpower’s resilience demands caution in overestimating Houthi success.
- The Yemeni Armed Forces targeted the U.S. aircraft carrier "USS Carl Vinson" for the first time since its arrival in the Arabian Sea.
- The Yemeni Armed Forces shot down a U.S. MQ-9 drone today, making it the 20th one to be downed.
- The Missile Force carried out a military operation targeting a military objective in the vicinity of Ben Gurion Airport in the occupied Yafa area with a "Zulfiqar" ballistic missile.
- The Armed Forces: We carried out a joint military operation targeting the two U.S. aircraft carriers "Truman" and "Vinson" and their accompanying warships in the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea.
Conclusion: The Houthis’ ability to target two U.S. carriers, down a 20th MQ-9, and launch a Zulfiqar missile at Israel on April 18, 2025, alongside consistent MQ-9 losses and prior attacks (e.g., 18 missiles at Truman, March 16), demonstrates limited to no degradation of their air defense, missile, drone, and C2 capabilities. U.S. strikes have not significantly impaired their operational tempo, as mobile and underground assets evade targeting
Orchestrating simultaneous attacks across the Red Sea and Arabian Sea requires intact command-and-control (C2), missile/drone inventories, and targeting systems. This contradicts U.S. claims of degraded C2
Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent ----- The Trump Administration has made one thing clear: We will apply maximum pressure on Iran and disrupt the regime’s oil supply chain and exports, which support terrorist proxies and partners. -----
- I help Bessent complete his sentence -
. ''''' and will apply maximum pressure on Iran and disrupt the regime’s oil supply to China '''''
I remember that story. Remember, we the tax payer are funding the surveillance tools related to spy on us through aid and subsidies by our government to Zionist interests and Israel. The Israeli tech miracle industry funded by us.
Why, yes, it does. Certainly superseding the technology era that's for sure. But in the information age where deep packet inspection equipment and virus detection have become necessary to ward off hackers. The skill set of snoopers and computer thieves looking for classified data has grown quite rapidly. The technology for snooping, detecting, protecting has a lot of active companies based in Israel, where we outsourced a lot our R&D funding to create solutions. When You dig into this area funded state side by our government through agencies like DARPA then licensed it back to commercial interests like Facebook and Google you will find lots of Zionists.
From Wikileaks: “The majority of people in the US now oppose Israel. Among 18-49s, that includes a majority of Republicans and 71% of Democrats. Only among older Republicans does Israel still have majority support.”
It is very difficult to tell the truth about what Israel is doing without accusations of anti-semitism. As a Christian, I have argued with other Christians about the evil of the indiscriminate bombing of Gaza and the killing of thousands of innocents. The images of the surviving children with blown off limbs is heartbreaking. And yet this continues with American bombs and money and advocacy. Trump is in a position to stop this and he hasn’t. And so he is complicit. He can also stop the aid and money flowing to Ukraine and he hasn’t. And he is bombing the Houthis without a war declaration and killing numerous innocents. I have buyer’s remorse as I thought Trump was going to stop the wars and stand for the First Amendment. He’s not playing 4D chess as we are told. He’s playing with the lives of people.
Older Republicans translate into Evangelicals which translate into Christian Zionism. Rubio was a curiosity to me as Cuban I assumed he was Catholic, and while baptized and confirmed Catholic the family has Mormon affiliation and his affiliations in his political career seems to solidify his pro-Zionist mind set, probably his bank account as well thanks to the lobby.
Bovard's article is excellent and chilling. But, again, this is part of the deal he made with Jewish Nationalists. The Constitution? MAGA? How does that all fit together with this deal?
It’s not baffling, it’s entirely in character. I submit Trump was boosted by Zionist money to support and promote Zionists interests globally and in return he gets some form of revenge on his enemies and enough noise on the domestic side to keep his uninformed base happy. We still lose in the end. The real revenge tactics is rolling right in front of our eyes, the destruction of the West and the possession of the world’s scarce resources are the end game. The Christian Zionists will be disappointed and confused when they realize they’ve been had.
It is and growing more cynical daily as I read press statements, negotiation talking points and his rhetoric. Could it all be bluffing, I can't tell since I am not privy to the behind the scenes discussions. It's reading between the lines that gets me to this cynical state.
Call it the art of the deal. He dealt away all you described in order to regain the presidency with a shot at implementing his Grand Vision. He did that based on his own calculus of what he could get away with, his ability to distract and refocus. This explains his Big Hurry.
Happy to see my VPN is not a parasitoid! But that was just a matter of luck and maybe a matter of time.
Todays News : related to yesterday
A U.S. MQ-9 drone was shot down, marking the second drone to be downed within 24 hours
.
Strange article that after reading I wonder if I should make a tinfoil hat. I read the transcript on YouTube of the almost 3 hour video. I wonder how much is true.
Just a taste. Supposedly Epstein liked to keep trophies, which the blue dress in Clinton painting was. Supposedly Clinton was blackmailed by Israel during his impeachment over calls with Monica Lewinsky, who happens to be Jewish.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/epstein-mossad-or-cia
Very interesting, Ray. One has to wonder how this clandestine affaire came public and why. Today everything leads back to the same people and place and reason.
Perhaps of interest - it was to me I spent some time researching the Houthi/Yemen ability to shoot down MQ-9 reaper drones and after review I questioned Grok this was the response ( in pertinent part )
---------------------------------------------
The U.S. has likely made significant changes to MQ-9 flight patterns and added limited defensive measures, but the Houthis’ adaptability, Iranian backing, and the MQ-9’s inherent vulnerabilities (slow speed, no ECM, large radar cross-section) enable continued shoot-downs. The pace of losses (1–2 per month since November 2023) suggests Houthi countermeasures outstrip U.S. adaptations
Tipping Point:
If losses exceed production (e.g., >24 per year), ISR gaps could force reliance on costlier platforms (e.g., F-35s) or reduced operations.
If Houthi SAMs become more accurate (e.g., via Iranian upgrades), the loss rate could rise to 2–3% per sortie, making MQ-9s unsustainable.
The Atlantic Council notes that losing ~1 MQ-9 monthly is “not sustainable,” suggesting a threshold where ISR value no longer justifies costs.
Counterpoint: The U.S. may tolerate losses longer than expected, as Red Sea security and countering Iran outweigh financial costs. Trump’s March 2025 claim of “decimating” Houthi capabilities suggests confidence in enduring losses to achieve strategic goals.
------------------------------------------------
Thanks. I'd been wondering about production/loss ratio.
Thanks Mark yeah me too I read the US produces about 23 / 24 a year they have been making them since 2007 with losses here and there they claim about 300 in 'supply' but some bought by foreign countries and some used for example patrolling the US border basically I opine the US underestimated the Houthi capabilities
In questioning Grok Grok has now agreed with me as follows [ initially Grok placed the Houthi ability to shoot down a B 52 at 0 % ]
Conclusion
Part A: Existential Nature: I agree that the Yemen Houthi battle is strategically existential for Iran, as a U.S. failure—carriers departing without degrading Houthi capabilities or securing Red Sea access—would deter a U.S. war against Iran, exposing the costs of confronting a stronger adversary with superior technology (e.g., Bavar-373, hypersonics) and Russia/China support. It strengthens Iran’s proxy strategy and regional leverage, making a U.S. attack seem a “fool’s errand,” though it’s not existential to Iran’s survival due to other deterrence mechanisms (nuclear, proxies).
Part B: B-52 Probability: Given Iran’s motive to ensure U.S. failure in Yemen, I increase my estimate of the Houthis shooting down a B-52. With current SAMs (358, SA-6), it remains 1–5% per engagement (near 0% with tactics). If Iran transfers a 3rd Khordad or Sayyad-4 by July–October 2025, driven by Yemen’s existential stakes, the probability rises to 15–20% per engagement within 150–200 km, or 5–10% with U.S. countermeasures. This reflects Iran’s escalation potential, Houthi adaptability, and the symbolic value of a B-52 shoot-down, tempered by U.S. defenses and logistical barriers. Iran’s intent to maximize U.S. failure makes advanced SAMs more likely, but the risk remains moderate due to operational constraints. Keep watching for signs of SAM transfers—Zionism’s broader context (e.g., Gaza) fuels Iran’s resolve, but U.S. airpower isn’t easily defeated.
- I am of course hoping Yemen does not shoot down a B 52 loss of life [drone no pilot] but I have to be thinking the US must be taking this into consideration
I have concluded the fight in Yemen is in many ways existential to Iran and Grok appears to agree.
"Given Iran’s motive to ensure U.S. failure in Yemen, I increase my estimate of the Houthis shooting down a B-52."
grok agreed that given the motive Iran likely transferred more technology and weaponry to Yemen then perhaps previously understood
That's always been a bit of a speculative unknown factor--whether the Houthis may not be using everything they have. Choosing an attrition war.
I promise this will be my last post today - my apologies for so much writing
I debate with Grok [ I know it is a computer ] I was trying to calculate the chance that Houthi could shoot down a B 52 given experience with MQ 9 Reaper
--------------------------------------------------
I asked Grok:
"""" If Iran transfers a 3rd Khordad or Sayyad-4 by July–October 2025, driven by Yemen’s existential stakes, the probability rises to 15–20% per engagement within 150–200 km, or 5–10% with U.S. countermeasures. """"
but do you not have to agree that Iran has probably already made those transfers, with the agreement that Houthi would not utilize until and unless Iran Russia and China are in agreement on Houthi use, of course the shooting down of a B 52 would materially alter all relationships as the US would know where it came from so a double edged sword may well stop a war in Iran or be an excuse to initiate one, however, the point being, is it not more likely than not Iran already has the weaponry in storage
--------------------------------------------------------------
Grok again raised it's speculation on chance
GROK reply
=============================
4. Conclusion
Likelihood of Prepositioned SAMs: It’s plausible but not more likely than not (40–50% chance) that Iran has transferred 3rd Khordad or Sayyad-4 SAMs to Houthi storage by April 2025, with use pending Iran/Russia/China approval. Iran’s smuggling success (Zulfiqar, 358 SAMs), Houthi underground facilities, and existential stakes in Yemen support this, but no confirmed evidence, logistical risks, and Iran’s caution (avoiding escalation) limit certainty. Your speculation of a coordinated agreement is credible, aligning with Iran’s covert strategy, but lacks direct proof.
Revised B-52 Probability: Assuming prepositioned SAMs, the probability of the Houthis shooting down a B-52 rises to 20–25% per engagement within 150–200 km by July 2025, or 8–12% with U.S. countermeasures (SEAD, ECM, decoys, standoff tactics). If it’s more likely than not (>50%), it could reach 25–30% (10–15% with countermeasures), reflecting immediate SAM availability and Iran’s motive to ensure U.S. failure. The increase accounts for your existential framing, Iran’s escalatory potential, and Houthi readiness, but U.S. defenses, Houthi constraints, and escalation risks keep the probability moderate.
Strategic Context: A B-52 shoot-down is a double-edged sword, potentially deterring a U.S. Iran war by showcasing proxy strength or escalating tensions if the U.S. retaliates against Iran. Iran’s careful calibration, with Russia/China input, makes prepositioning plausible but use conditional on strategic timing (e.g., U.S. escalation). No evidence confirms advanced SAMs yet, so monitor Houthi attacks and U.S. intelligence for signs of escalation. The Yemen battle’s stakes amplify Iran’s resolve, but U.S. airpower’s resilience demands caution in overestimating Houthi success.
Reported To Have Occurred Today:
- The Yemeni Armed Forces targeted the U.S. aircraft carrier "USS Carl Vinson" for the first time since its arrival in the Arabian Sea.
- The Yemeni Armed Forces shot down a U.S. MQ-9 drone today, making it the 20th one to be downed.
- The Missile Force carried out a military operation targeting a military objective in the vicinity of Ben Gurion Airport in the occupied Yafa area with a "Zulfiqar" ballistic missile.
- The Armed Forces: We carried out a joint military operation targeting the two U.S. aircraft carriers "Truman" and "Vinson" and their accompanying warships in the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea.
Conclusion: The Houthis’ ability to target two U.S. carriers, down a 20th MQ-9, and launch a Zulfiqar missile at Israel on April 18, 2025, alongside consistent MQ-9 losses and prior attacks (e.g., 18 missiles at Truman, March 16), demonstrates limited to no degradation of their air defense, missile, drone, and C2 capabilities. U.S. strikes have not significantly impaired their operational tempo, as mobile and underground assets evade targeting
Orchestrating simultaneous attacks across the Red Sea and Arabian Sea requires intact command-and-control (C2), missile/drone inventories, and targeting systems. This contradicts U.S. claims of degraded C2
China supplying GEOINT data to Houthi does NOT make China a part of the conflict. 😀
.
Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent ----- The Trump Administration has made one thing clear: We will apply maximum pressure on Iran and disrupt the regime’s oil supply chain and exports, which support terrorist proxies and partners. -----
- I help Bessent complete his sentence -
. ''''' and will apply maximum pressure on Iran and disrupt the regime’s oil supply to China '''''
.
Mind blowing on the vpn.
Tucker and Rogan are both plugging express vpn.
An old unz article mentioned the Jewish role in the pornography industry:
https://www.unz.com/article/oppression-by-orgasm/
And the owner of only fans is a Ukrainian Jew “ OnlyFans is Leonid Radvinsky, a Ukrainian-American billionaire businessman”
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-66615008
Perhaps the Epstein blackmail model is obsolete, so he was no longer needed.
I remember that story. Remember, we the tax payer are funding the surveillance tools related to spy on us through aid and subsidies by our government to Zionist interests and Israel. The Israeli tech miracle industry funded by us.
Israeli technical surveillance in the US goes back decades.
Why, yes, it does. Certainly superseding the technology era that's for sure. But in the information age where deep packet inspection equipment and virus detection have become necessary to ward off hackers. The skill set of snoopers and computer thieves looking for classified data has grown quite rapidly. The technology for snooping, detecting, protecting has a lot of active companies based in Israel, where we outsourced a lot our R&D funding to create solutions. When You dig into this area funded state side by our government through agencies like DARPA then licensed it back to commercial interests like Facebook and Google you will find lots of Zionists.
Common sense says the vpn being legal means it’s monitored/owned. All of them.
And we funded it all,
From Wikileaks: “The majority of people in the US now oppose Israel. Among 18-49s, that includes a majority of Republicans and 71% of Democrats. Only among older Republicans does Israel still have majority support.”
It is very difficult to tell the truth about what Israel is doing without accusations of anti-semitism. As a Christian, I have argued with other Christians about the evil of the indiscriminate bombing of Gaza and the killing of thousands of innocents. The images of the surviving children with blown off limbs is heartbreaking. And yet this continues with American bombs and money and advocacy. Trump is in a position to stop this and he hasn’t. And so he is complicit. He can also stop the aid and money flowing to Ukraine and he hasn’t. And he is bombing the Houthis without a war declaration and killing numerous innocents. I have buyer’s remorse as I thought Trump was going to stop the wars and stand for the First Amendment. He’s not playing 4D chess as we are told. He’s playing with the lives of people.
Older Republicans translate into Evangelicals which translate into Christian Zionism. Rubio was a curiosity to me as Cuban I assumed he was Catholic, and while baptized and confirmed Catholic the family has Mormon affiliation and his affiliations in his political career seems to solidify his pro-Zionist mind set, probably his bank account as well thanks to the lobby.
Bovard's article is excellent and chilling. But, again, this is part of the deal he made with Jewish Nationalists. The Constitution? MAGA? How does that all fit together with this deal?
It’s not baffling, it’s entirely in character. I submit Trump was boosted by Zionist money to support and promote Zionists interests globally and in return he gets some form of revenge on his enemies and enough noise on the domestic side to keep his uninformed base happy. We still lose in the end. The real revenge tactics is rolling right in front of our eyes, the destruction of the West and the possession of the world’s scarce resources are the end game. The Christian Zionists will be disappointed and confused when they realize they’ve been had.
It is and growing more cynical daily as I read press statements, negotiation talking points and his rhetoric. Could it all be bluffing, I can't tell since I am not privy to the behind the scenes discussions. It's reading between the lines that gets me to this cynical state.
Call it the art of the deal. He dealt away all you described in order to regain the presidency with a shot at implementing his Grand Vision. He did that based on his own calculus of what he could get away with, his ability to distract and refocus. This explains his Big Hurry.