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Excellent article. Thanks

A few overarching themes came to mind while reading.

The first is the lack of appreciation of dynamic vs linear change. In the sense that humans are dynamic. A good example of this is the concept of "blowback" in IR/conflict theory. There's an illusion of control until things unravel suddenly. Rwanda 1994 is a practical example of many decades of incitement (preceded by a century of colonial bs divide and conquer), then a spark and all of sudden chaos. It's a worthwhile cautionary tale of things getting out of hand.

I can't help but feel those funding social change repeat the same playbook expecting similar results only to be surprised by people behaving differently.

The other thing is that savior complex plaguing most societies. If only so-and-so gets elected, they'll solve XYZ.

I remember when Obama was on the campaign trail in '07 and a few commentators looked under the hood of his stint as senator. And it wasn't pretty. The Nobel (post election) was the tell, but by then he was in office and was a saint, any negatives were the fault of his imperfect appointees.

So again it's a case of look at what's done, not what's said.

And Trump is the same. He gets a free pass on everything by his supporters. There's always an excuse. But if you look under the hood, it's more a case of wanting to believe than facts.

Which brings me to the crux of it all.

We live in complex societies. We depend on assumptions that things function (ie courts, police, etc), but neoliberalism (Stilgitz is on point atm) has bulldozed it's way to dominance, with business philosophies turned into gospel (ie just in time production/stock (and how'd that work out between 2020-2022?)). As Taleb would probably say: it's very fragile.

Throw in social media, multipolarity rising, unsustainable debt, crony capitalism, etc.

What blowback awaits us?

When wars start, real wars, everyone closes ranks. It doesn't matter who's in charge, why it started and who the enemy is.

Anyone who thinks we're going back to a pre Ukraine vs Russia world is in for a rude awakening.

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May 2·edited May 2Author

I don't dispute your main points. However ...

Re Trump. Trump, as a centerpiece of his campaign, published a list of judges from which he pledged to choose his judicial nominees. He followed through and, while the results haven't been perfect (Gorsuch Bostock), they have by and large been a breath of fresh air for our constitutional lungs. That's a fact, not a free pass, has already made a difference, not a product of wanting to believe, bids fair to continue dismantling the admin state--which strikes at the heart of the "neoliberal" or Prog-expert state.

Students of American politics will be aware that in our current state of decline most major policy issues are "passed" by the SCOTUS, so this was no small matter.

EDIT: This is precisely why Trump retains so much support. Americans pay little attention to distant foreign lands, to their detriment.

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@Stefano -- All good points.

You wrote, "We depend on assumptions that things function (ie courts, police, etc), but neoliberalism...has bulldozed it's way to dominance..."

Another aspect of this assumption is the presence or absence of 'trust' in the ability of, for example, police and courts, in effect, the institutions of a society, to function. For example, a court may in any individual case decide it 'for' or 'against' me. But we must 'trust' the institution of the the court to mostly get it right over the long haul. If we don't we simply won't accept the individual decisions of the court.

Big picture, 'trust' is a long-term thing. Its implicit in the survival of long-term relationships. Relationships that survive over time. Like successful marriages. Like the US Constitution.

These people today who are running the show, our show, are not long-term minded. They are inherently transactional. If you do this, they say, I'm going to do that. I win. You lose. Well, they may or may not come out on top on any given transaction. But they will, sure as hell, destroy the relationship.

And experience teaches that these transactional people don't know when to quit. If someone gets the better of them on a transaction they have no long-term perspective. They double down to win the next transaction. Until there is no trust left and the result is war, or its equivalent.

It is constantly repeated in places like this forum that these people (Obama, Biden, whoever rules them) are trying to destroy America. This belief is hard to refute when you look at the dysfunctionality we see everywhere today.

The result will be the destruction of trust leading to the destruction of all or nearly all our relationships. The consequences will be horrific.

But they don't or can't see this.

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Jimmy Dore is a Goat in the making.

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Per the Gateway Pundit,

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/05/house-gop-passes-controversial-bill-labeling-certain-christian/

I almost expected to see this as a Babylon Bee headline.

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I'm supportive of any man's right to protest, regardless if I agree or disagree with the speaker. I don't support blocking roads or shutting down highways, property damage, trespassing, assault or violence.

I agree with Mr. Wauck that it's instructive to see who has free speech rights and who doesn't.

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May 2·edited May 2

While I happen to agree with anyone protesting Israel’s criminal Gaza campaign, I also believe that many of the same culprits behind BLM/antifa are fanning the flames of campus unrest today. Yesteryear’s alliance of convenience between the neocon establishment and the globalist left is devolving into civil war. It was only a matter of time that Israel would become a bone of contention between the two wings of our ruling class. Check out this video showing erstwhile antifa/BLM Alinskyite agitators working the pro-palestinian protests.

https://youtu.be/ISe9xSwU2jU?si=KYTXzGsTgU65l50m&t=990

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BA, can you express that via a Venn diagram? The two extremes conjoined…

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Setting aside entirely the valid, good-faith objections of many of these protesters and the free-speech implications of crushing their dissent, I did get a kick out of this story as illustrative of the age-old social dynamics of college campuses. The shrill, Lefty misfits vs. the Bro-letariat. The latter seem to have had their "I hate Illinois N@zis" moment and have raised $125K for beer in the process. ;-)

https://nypost.com/2024/05/01/us-news/124k-raised-for-unc-frat-brothers-who-saved-american-flag-from-anti-israeli-mob/

Again, not making light of the profound issues here, just an amusing tangent.

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Sachs' concluding remarks:

What the US is trying to do--to assert military Supremacy and hegemony around the world--cannot work. It will lead us into Wars everywhere as it is doing, but because the public understands that this is completely the wrong course it means more and more internal suppression. So we're seeing the bottom line of this policy right now. An approach that is destroying Ukraine, an approach that supports genocide in Gaza, and an approach which leads to our campuses being overrun by the police. This is where we are heading right now. We are really on the brink and it's the security state which is our unbelievable threat, and it's their delusion that they run the world or *can* run the world that is the underlying mover of this disastrous approach which is getting us into wars everywhere.

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May 2·edited May 2

…and into deeper and deeper potholes. Our roads are going to hell.

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Sounds like the Zionist influence has led our Nation's leadership into a serious case of National Socialism.

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Gotta luv titles like this:

"Left-Wing Dark Money Groups Are Bankrolling Anti-Israel Demonstrations"

Where's the concern over AIPAC not registering as an agent of a foreign power? Where's the concern over some of that money going to buy off BOTH political parties? And much of the military?

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If AIPAC was registered as what it actually is, an agent of a foreign power, then by logical extension any officeholder or candidate that accepted AIPAC's "contributions", really bribes, would be considered an agent of a foreign power. Which is precisely what they actually are.

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Which is precisely what our Resident is

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It's not just that, Mark, it's the fact this dark money is not so dark it's hardly been hidden that Soros and company are funding both sides. There is a serious desire to re-enact the worst excesses of the first half of the 20th century.

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AIPAC is likely funding the Violent Agitators to make the protestor look bad.

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I agree with Professor Sachs 100%.

I am glad he mentioned the despicable Elise Stefanik, who, in my judgment, browbeat the Presidents of Penn and Harvard into submission when they testified before Congress...and into the loss of their jobs. (I defended these Presidents in their attempts to respond to Ms Stefanik...notwithstanding the separate question of the utter lack of qualification of the former President of Harvard to occupy her office.)

I am so disappointed in the Republicans who are not standing up for the rights of Free Speech and seemingly, to me, have caved into the power of the Donor Class to support the Neocon endless war project.

Of course, we all are wondering where Donald Trump and his acolytes are on the whole question. I am desperately hoping that Trump, in fact, has some 3D or 4D chess answer to all of our fears that he has fallen into line behind the Donors/Neocons/Deep State. Is it fair to speculate that Trump actually has a strategy to end this madness...or is his egotistical need for electoral vindication so great that he will, in effect, sell the American People out?

If we have lost him, who is left?

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I'm keeping an open mind as to whether DJT has become a swamp dweller, or not.

An Evangelical friend frequently says that if God doesn't judge the United States soon, He's going to have to apologize to Sodom and Gemorrah.

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Jared asked him to jump, and Trump asked how high, same as last time?

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He probably thinks he can huff and puff Putin out of Ukraine and considers this deal a sidebar.

I've been hoping, though not believing, that he has some deep strategy, something like the Q thesis. But it sure looks like he's playing into the deep state's hands.

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I think this deal *is* a sidebar if he can extricate us from the war. If.

(Especially because analysts are now saying that the money for Ukraine is for stuff we already bought from the MIC but haven't paid for.)

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I think he's made his peace with the GOPe Deep State: "Let me back in and I'll toe the line"

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Steg, I very much hope not.

These people have tried to destroy him in every conceivable way. How can he forgive them?

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Gotta agree with you Cass, big time!! I’m starting to get a really bad feeling about the way things are shaping up. If DJT does not realize by now that you absolutely, totally cannot trust anything these people say, do or promise, then we are pretty much doomed as a country.

He was, as you stated, betrayed, deceived and hampered at every turn by virtually everyone in the entire government and that will never change. Yep, a really, really bad feeling.

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We are now in the DIGITAL Paradigm, so all talk of “democracy” is just fantasy. No one believes it is the way forward. It is obsolete. So the parties, which are products of TELEVISION, which is now in the dustbin, have become goat rodeos led by the lobbyists.

The interesting question for the next 10-20 years is what replaces it?

We are retrieving all of the pre-modern ideas: think Scribal or Medieval. People now want answers on how to live as humans, not silly choices about what to buy or turn themselves into. The pre-Modern is going to get a hard look. Think subsidiary.

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I’m not believing what “trump advisors” are saying I want to hear from him. Too many time we hear made up crap

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The first part of this piece (BLM protests versus Universities campi protests) is exactly what is revealing for me. So, burning and looting cities is 'mainly peaceful protests'. Protest camping is 'violent, terrorist action? we live in an upside down world:

https://antoniojfgil.substack.com/p/the-violence-of-camping-for-palestine

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There's madness in the air.

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When the person who's supposed to be steering the ship doesn't even know where it is, I suppose all the icebergs are aiming for the vessel.

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All those icebergs look like ice cream cones to the King of Dementia.

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May 1·edited May 1

November will be interesting theatre, assuming there aren't any big sports events to compete with it. But that's about all it will be. Trump has sold out completely. The final straw for me was his criticism of JFK Jr over his vaxx stance. Whatever his other faults, JKF Jr was absolutely spot-on about the deathshots and evils of Fauci and Co. He offered the kind of leadership and direction that Trump should have supplied. As for the Jewish religious zealots, I've been flicking through Karen Armstrong's book on religious fundamentalism. Very few people outside of Israel understand just how deeply Israel is divided between the secularists and religious extremists. The original leftwing zionists who flooded into Palestine in 1948 wanted not only to escape from Nazi persecution but also from what they saw as the dreary culture of death represented by Eastern European Jewish orthodoxy. It was felt until recently that the secularists had won. Wrong! As the "enlightened" western Ashkenazi Jews die out, the Eastern religion Jews are taking over. As for Meir Kahane, he was as close to a Jewish Nazi as it is possible to get. At the time, he was mostly an outlier. Today, his type are common place and increasingly powerful. Israel has no future with these crazies in charge.

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I hope Trump debates RFK.

RFK is right on the clot shot, and probably right on vaccines in general. Trump is probably closer to mainstream opinion on vaccines. RFK has enough other crazy beliefs, Trump should leave vaccines alone, or be more skeptical on them.

And Trump had a negative comment on Netanyahu and the October 7th attack.

https://dailycaller.com/2024/04/30/trump-netanyahu-attacks-oct-7/

Trumps has negatives, but he is a huge improvement over his opponents.

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Yeah, Trump's negatives keep piling up. Its like he's the Yankees on a 10 game losing streak...early in the season.

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I'm done with both parties. I agree w/Jake Shields--both parties serve the same master. America is an Israeli occupied territory. We are allowed to criticize the US govt, but not Israel. That's all you need to know about who really rules the US.

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The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican. The only thing worse than a Republican is a Democrat.

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Startlingly well said.

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We aren’t even allowed to criticize the American government. Any one of a wide array of three letter agencies await anyone who gets out of line.

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USA =ZOG

Zionist Occuppied Government

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100%

I don't know how we are going to get out of this nightmare.

We have a treasonous government that is saying anyone who protests a genocide is a terrorist.

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Yeah. That for sure looks like a Deep L

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May 2·edited May 2

Good morning, Rip Van Winkle! Alot has changed since you fell asleep in the mid-80s. No one who knows ANYTHING at all about post-Soviet Russia would cast the current East-West rift in such ideological terms.

1. Everyone over 50 in Russia today was “educated in soviet/Marxist-Leninist doctrine.” However, that does not mean (a) they all “bought” it or (b) adhere to it today. Indeed, you would have a very hard time finding anyone in Russia pining for the “glory days” of Communism.

2. Case-in-point: Putin is personally more of a free-marketeer than most of our ruling class. In fact, Russian society is arguably more entrepreneurial and capitalist than the U.S.

3. You are quite right about Marxist infiltration and funding of destabilizing trends in Western societies. George Soros is the current poster child. Yet, Soros is the sworn enemy of the current Russian regime.

4. If anything the Marxist shoe is now on the other (Western) foot. The American Empire is now the one sowing the seeds of dystopian Revolution around the world. Russia is now the champion of traditional Christian values, national sovereignty, common sense about human nature, etc. For example, Alexandr Dugin (a.k.a., “Putin’s Brain”) can be accused of many things, but being a Marxist-Leninist is not one of them:

https://youtu.be/GIULmTprQ6o?si=AH1qm-1GNjQGrmrE

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Stupid free zone.

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Hans, you made me think of a dictatorship US loves, one whose doctrine of beheadings in the public square "hasn't changed," one to whom US is constantly supplying weapons of war, the Islamic Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: "Most executions are carried out by beheading...In some cases executions are carried out in public, and the bodies put on display." In 2023 Saudi executed at least 172. Since 2015 under King Salmans, 1,257+ have been executed, an avg. of 140 per year.

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And your point is, Mr. Schreier?

That we need to defeat 'Communist' Russia so that we can proceed with Klaus Schwab's implementation of the Great Reset?

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Time warp run amok!

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