I’ve been loathe to spend time writing about the NATO invasion of Russia in the Kursk direction. Whether the objective was simply to distract the Russians from their successful Donbass offensive, or perhaps to capture and hold for ransom (in negotiations for a settlement) the major Russian nuclear facility at Kurchatov, it appears clear that the invasion was doomed from the start. Professor John Mearsheimer has summarized how foolish it all has been:
₦₳V𝚜𝚝é𝚟𝚊  ᴢ @Navsteva
Mearsheimer on Kursk:
Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat. The key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory, which Western commentators obsess over. The casualty-exchange ratio in the Kursk offensive decisively favors Russia for two reasons. First, it has caused relatively few Russian casualties because Ukraine’s army effectively overran undefended territory. Second, once alerted to the attack, Moscow quickly brought massive airpower to bear against the advancing Ukrainian troops, who were in the open and easy to strike. Unsurprisingly, the attacking forces lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment.
To make matters worse, Kyiv removed top-notch combat units from the front lines in eastern Ukraine — where they are desperately needed — and made them part of the Kursk strike force. This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favor. It is no wonder — given what a foolish idea the Kursk incursion is — that the Russians were caught by surprise.
12:42 PM · Aug 15, 2024
If you’re looking for more detailed discussion, Mikael Valtersson has been busy:
Mearsheimer isn’t the only one who sees looming disaster:
-- GEROMAN -- time will tell -  -- @GeromanAT
  The Ukrainian Armed Forces' offensive in the Kursk region could result in Ukraine's capitulation, — BILD
The publication highlights significant changes in the war: Ukraine has captured more territory in Russia in 6 days than the Russian Armed Forces have captured in Ukraine in recent months.
 But there is a big risk: if the Ukrainian Armed Forces are defeated with heavy losses, this could accelerate the advance of the Russian army in Donbass and lead to the capitulation of Ukraine.
Politico reports that after the offensive on the Kursk region began, the situation in Donbass has worsened, and Ukrainian units are receiving less ammunition.
First strike on a NATO base is coming nearer and nearer..
Quote
DD Geopolitics @DD_Geopolitics
Biden is 'open' to sending long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine - Politico
The publication mentions JASSM missiles with a range of about 400 km. The Pentagon is already working on modifications allowing Ukraine to launch this weapon from F-16 fighters, Politico notes, citing sources.
However, the Pentagon has officially declined to comment on whether the transfer of the missiles has been approved.
Translation: The Kiev Regime has already received JASSMs from the US.
The end result of this Zelensky-Syrsky-Kuleba venture was clear from the start. It is impossible to capture territories with mobile armored groups. A wave of second-echelon reserves must follow them, supporting the assault and consolidating.
As soon as the first FABs started falling on the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the state border line, cutting them off from the invading group, the insidious and brilliantly planned plan by the morons in Kyiv collapsed. And continues to collapse today.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces units that entered were "naked". I mean, they had ammunition and food and fuel for three days. And if they are still robbing stores and collective farm gas stations with food and fuel, then with ammunition everything is really bad. As well as with engineering. Add to this the minute-by-minute equipment burners from the Aida SpN detachment Akhmat and Sudoplatovtsev, everything is not going very well. There is nowhere to hide. Safari.
Zelensky, as they write, does not listen and continues to stubbornly push brigade after brigade into the cauldron, removing them from the front. Just some kind of Kremlin agent. There is no other way to explain it.
Will Schryver @imetatronink
·
Dec 16, 2023
 I figure, by the end of this war, Russia will have lost, killed in action, about the same number of soldiers the United States lost in Vietnam.
But the result to Russia will be the single most meaningful and decisive strategic military victory since the end of WW2.
Will Schryver @imetatronink
·
18h
Replying to @cigar_vet
Russia will comprehensively defeat the Ukrainians — and much more rapidly now.
And then even greater perils will come.
The US won't yield the field without at least incurring a very bloody nose. So significant risk will remain even as the Ukrainians crumble.
Or so I see it.
-- GEROMAN -- time will tell -  -- @GeromanAT
Condottiero writes:
The end result of this Zelensky-Syrsky-Kuleba venture was clear from the start. It is impossible to capture territories with mobile armored groups. A wave of second-echelon reserves must follow them, supporting the assault and consolidating.
As soon as the first FABs started falling on the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the state border line, cutting them off from the invading group, the insidious and brilliantly planned plan by the morons in Kyiv collapsed. And continues to collapse today.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces units that entered were "naked". I mean, they had ammunition and food and fuel for three days. And if they are still robbing stores and collective farm gas stations with food and fuel, then with ammunition everything is really bad. As well as with engineering. Add to this the minute-by-minute equipment burners from the Aida SpN detachment Akhmat and Sudoplatovtsev, everything is not going very well. There is nowhere to hide. Safari.
Zelensky, as they write, does not listen and continues to stubbornly push brigade after brigade into the cauldron, removing them from the front. Just some kind of Kremlin agent. There is no other way to explain it.
12:07 PM · Aug 15, 2024