The real lesson of the Russo-Ukrainian War is that warfare is now evolving at hyper speed. Technology and autonomous automation are creating new types of threats and destructiveness at a pace that is now measured in mere days. As an example, one can easily envision the next major war as being primarily contested by robotic armaments at the line of contact (no bio-soldiers allowed). Similarly, long range precision missiles traveling at Mach 10+ would likely render rear area utilities and infrastructure inoperative during the opening minutes of total war, which means civilian impact alone could be determinative. In the old military paradigm, leadership, resources, and logistics were critical to success, but then the invention of the atomic bomb fundamentally changed the calculus of warfare. Who can predict the next game-changing innovation when we are now on the cusp of AI assisted creativity? In this new environment, the only real existential threat is the warmonger who insists on hot war at all costs.
Very pragmatic assessment by Big Serge. Common sense really. Very much lacking in our politicians, MSM, and social studies education. Loved the analogy of 1914 Europe and lack of foresight relative to Western Europe. We struggle to think in broad terms.
What of the announcement that Zelensky is ready to ink the rare earth deal, that doesn't exist? He appears to be groveling now likely chastened or afraid for his future. I think the rare earth stuff is a con. Trump is racking up big pledges of investment, but who will really benefit? Blackrock has bought two ports at each end of the Panama Canal from a Hong Kong firm. What is going on. We are truly in a crazy world at the moment.
Fox and that ilk were touting all the "winning" "WE" were doing in acquiring strategic Panama Canal assets "from the Chinese." Who is this "we" in BlackRock???
I still hear that the Russians are incompetent. How is it that they cannot overrun Ukraine in just a few weeks as the U.S. did to Iraq? And so on it goes. If it were the mighty U.S. against Ukraine the war would be over in less than a month, so they brag. Well the last war the U.S. had with a worthy adversary was the Korean War. How long did it last? How much land was gained? How many people died?
Henry Kissinger (2014): "For the West, the demonization of Vladimir Putin is not a policy; it is an alibi for the absence of one"
- "Public discussion on Ukraine is all about confrontation. But do we know where we are going? In my life, I have seen four wars begun with great enthusiasm and public support, all of which we did not know how to end and from three of which we withdrew unilaterally. The test of policy is how it ends, not how it begins. Far too often the Ukrainian issue is posed as a showdown: whether Ukraine joins the East or the West. But if Ukraine is to survive and thrive, it must not be either side’s outpost against the other — it should function as a bridge between them.
"I think Trump may be one of those figures in history who appears from time to time to mark the end of an era and to force it to give up its old pretences. It doesn’t necessarily mean that he knows this, or that he is considering any great alternative. It could just be an accident."
Channeling Henry: “For the Dems, the demonization of Donald Trump is not a policy; it is an alibi for the absence of one.” We can bear that in mind tonight when the eggs start flying…
txs a lot! nice infos!
The real lesson of the Russo-Ukrainian War is that warfare is now evolving at hyper speed. Technology and autonomous automation are creating new types of threats and destructiveness at a pace that is now measured in mere days. As an example, one can easily envision the next major war as being primarily contested by robotic armaments at the line of contact (no bio-soldiers allowed). Similarly, long range precision missiles traveling at Mach 10+ would likely render rear area utilities and infrastructure inoperative during the opening minutes of total war, which means civilian impact alone could be determinative. In the old military paradigm, leadership, resources, and logistics were critical to success, but then the invention of the atomic bomb fundamentally changed the calculus of warfare. Who can predict the next game-changing innovation when we are now on the cusp of AI assisted creativity? In this new environment, the only real existential threat is the warmonger who insists on hot war at all costs.
Very pragmatic assessment by Big Serge. Common sense really. Very much lacking in our politicians, MSM, and social studies education. Loved the analogy of 1914 Europe and lack of foresight relative to Western Europe. We struggle to think in broad terms.
RUSSIA’S GROUND DRONES: THE GAME-CHANGERS RESHAPING WARFARE
https://x.com/sputnikint/status/1896937964103725113
While we put tampons in men’s bathrooms.
What of the announcement that Zelensky is ready to ink the rare earth deal, that doesn't exist? He appears to be groveling now likely chastened or afraid for his future. I think the rare earth stuff is a con. Trump is racking up big pledges of investment, but who will really benefit? Blackrock has bought two ports at each end of the Panama Canal from a Hong Kong firm. What is going on. We are truly in a crazy world at the moment.
I suspect there's no going back. Zelensky gave Trump the excuse he needed to satisfy a Russian condition.
We can only hope. This needs to be over.
some are predicting it will be announced at tonight's Congressional address.
Fox and that ilk were touting all the "winning" "WE" were doing in acquiring strategic Panama Canal assets "from the Chinese." Who is this "we" in BlackRock???
https://www.nationalreview.com/news/blackrock-agrees-to-buy-panama-canal-ports-in-win-for-trump-effort-to-reassert-u-s-influence/amp/
How is that a win for Trump escapes me.
Good point. There is no we in Blackrock.
I still hear that the Russians are incompetent. How is it that they cannot overrun Ukraine in just a few weeks as the U.S. did to Iraq? And so on it goes. If it were the mighty U.S. against Ukraine the war would be over in less than a month, so they brag. Well the last war the U.S. had with a worthy adversary was the Korean War. How long did it last? How much land was gained? How many people died?
Glenn Diesen @Glenn_Diesen
Henry Kissinger (2014): "For the West, the demonization of Vladimir Putin is not a policy; it is an alibi for the absence of one"
- "Public discussion on Ukraine is all about confrontation. But do we know where we are going? In my life, I have seen four wars begun with great enthusiasm and public support, all of which we did not know how to end and from three of which we withdrew unilaterally. The test of policy is how it ends, not how it begins. Far too often the Ukrainian issue is posed as a showdown: whether Ukraine joins the East or the West. But if Ukraine is to survive and thrive, it must not be either side’s outpost against the other — it should function as a bridge between them.
https://washingtonpost.com/opinions/henry-kissinger-to-settle-the-ukraine-crisis-start-at-the-end/2014/03/05/46dad868-a496-11e3-8466-d34c451760b9_story.html
"I think Trump may be one of those figures in history who appears from time to time to mark the end of an era and to force it to give up its old pretences. It doesn’t necessarily mean that he knows this, or that he is considering any great alternative. It could just be an accident."
— Henry Kissinger · July 2018
True dat. But if you stick with your convictions and don’t waiver then reasonable outcomes CAN occur.
Channeling Henry: “For the Dems, the demonization of Donald Trump is not a policy; it is an alibi for the absence of one.” We can bear that in mind tonight when the eggs start flying…
Hope they’re mostly scrambled.
Well played, ML!