Putin Probing US--At The Polish Border?
I haven’t done any searches, but the only more or less in depth coverage of this story I’ve seen has been at TGP:
I’ll provide an excerpt describing the Polish view on what’s going on—it’s the official public version, but I’m quite sure their understanding is deeper than they let on.
Here’s the setting.
The US has an increasingly woke and dysfunctional military, with a SecDef who has shown himself to be a doofuss.
The US is in chaos, ruled by a discredited Regime by Committee with a puppet of a president who’s only worth to the world is for fart jokes. This travesty of an administration was put in place by collusion of the DC political elite against an effective and respected president.
The withdrawal from Afghanistan was a bungled tragedy. Even Obama officials are saying so.
A US submarine ran into an underwater mountain in the South China Sea—a huge embarrassment.
The US Marines were totally owned by the UK Marines in a major war game in the Mojave Desert—”dominated” by the UK forces, is the way the UK media describes this particular debacle. The US side was forced to surrender ignominiously just half way through.
The Zhou regime has adopted an open border policy. Poland is attempting to maintain the integrity of its borders.
OK.
International sharks can sense weakness and know how to probe a vulnerable country. America is now seen as vulnerable to such probing. Everybody knows that Putin is behind this “hybrid warfare” assault on a NATO member—Belarus wouldn’t attempt this stunt without Putin’s say-so. I’m sure Poland’s border police and military are brave, dedicate, and well trained. They’re not a match for Russia and they know it. That’s why they’re blaming Belarus, for public consumption. Putin knows that only the Zhou regime is capable of an effective counter to this, and he’s trying to find out how far he can push.
Here’s the Polish account, excerpted from TGP. There’s more at the link, including videos, above:
Earlier in the day, Polish authorities had warned that “a major shooting incident” could possibly occur because of rising tensions between them and Belarus. The sentiment was mirrored by Poland’s Deputy Foreign Minister – Peter Wawrzyk – who also said earlier today that he believes “Belarus wants to cause a major incident, preferably with shots fired and casualties,” in a statement to local Polish radio stations.
The country’s Deputy PM – Jaroslaw Kaczynski – even called Belarus’ recent movements a form of “hybrid warfare.”
Poland’s officials see Lukashenko’s actions as a direct attack on their sovereignty as a country. According to the Polish Ministry of Defense, over 12,000 soldiers have been deployed alongside a fortified police force and a large group of volunteer guards who are all “prepared to defend the polish border.”
All of this is the result of 30 years of misguided, idiotic, policy towards Russia—culminating in the shameful public disgrace of the DC elite in the Russia Hoax. With the Zhou regime in increasing disarray this has the makings of a major disaster. Brought to you by the DC ruling elite.
We never stop, however, to discern what Russia wants with these provocations or 'probes.' I don't think Putin wants to reassemble the Soviet Union or the Warsaw Pact. It is, however, in Russia's interest to convince the states on its periphery to reexamine their alliance w the West. Russia will likely never convince former satellites to love or even trust Russia, but if these states will merely be neutral, stop hosting US or EU forces, etc... that would ne a huge boost in Russian security. And Russia needs that as it faces a dangerous CCP in the resource rich East, to say nothing of the muslims states along its southern periphery.
So then, what to make of the Belarus provocations? What does Russia gain? It shows the Poles who has the power and who is weak. NATO won't help Poland w its border problems because the West doesn't believe in borders. Poland is being threatened by the EU w economic war for protecting its culture and demographics. The Poles may well rethink whether they can trust the West and realign accordingly. And that is the game of Russia and China now. To fully exploit the collapse of American credibility and strategic power such that no country will be willing to line up w the West. Russia can only survive in a fractured world order where it isn't ganged up on by the West. China is aiming to thoroughly dominate the East and needs all its neighbors to lose faith in American protection so they acquiesce to Chinese demands. Win without firing a shot. That's the ultimate strategy.
Meanwhile the Regime just sent the Director of the CIA on a diplomatic mission to Moscow (ostensibly to prevent war in Ukraine). And why not? If the CDC can take control of the housing market and OSHA can impose a medical treatment on workers, surely the CIA can take a crack at diplomacy. What a shit-show. Fart jokes indeed.