35 Comments
User's avatar
dissonant1's avatar

Fantastic post. "Trump made his deal with these demons." "Say no more" but there is so much more to be said and to be horrifically demonstrated in support of that premise. Pray to God that His will be done and in thanks to Him that He is in control.

Joe's avatar

Thanks Mark - well done

" It seems to me that China is probably taking the lead now "

I mention this knowing everyone knows it - but it is just disbelief - I just cannot believe they did this but they did

US having shoved these Tariffs down throats and then played these games with currencies

Historically Everyone has cautioned - do not over use tariffs

" It seems to me that China is probably taking the lead now "

Has FORCED Demanded Required made it impossible Not To

Has made China take the lead

----- Trump has done nothing but expedite the fall of the US Dollar

. Yes it would have happened I am sure eventually

But Trump has effectively mandated that it happen As Soon as Possible

.

Joe's avatar

.

Some may say - Typical Trump - short term gain and PR

and long term loss.

.

Mark Wauck's avatar

This is what Venezuela was supposed to head off.

dpy's avatar

Speaking of "Zionist Freakout", just for grins I tuned in to Mark Levin's show on the Patriot Channel for a few minutes last night. I'd predicted to my wife that he'd be demanding an attack on Iran and he came through. We learned that Iranian mullah thugs had massacred 100,000 innocent protestors and that the dream of Iran is for there to be mushroom clouds over the continental US if SOMETHING IS NOT DONE RIGHT NOW! He went on to conflate Shiites with jihadis and all sorts of sillineess.

It only took about 3 minutes to have enough of that and tune back to the Chill channel.

The scariest thing about this is that Levin has a big following who apparently eat this stuff up.

Mark Wauck's avatar

With him it's Zionist Freakout 24/7. But here's the thing, you can get Jewish Nationalists like Bryen who normally don't froth at the mouth, but given the right stimulus they definitely will freak out. Freakout is baked in to that mindset.

Joanne C. Wasserman's avatar

the definitition being "my way or the highway"

marku52's avatar

"Trump a free actor?"

Well we know that's not true. Miriam Adelson, LOL.

Question is, is Trump really the kid in the little toy car, turning the steering wheel hither and yon as the adults wheel him around the neighborhood?

ROBERT Incognito's avatar

It’s not just YouTube that is tainted, I have noticed SubStack has been increasingly becoming a target of the propaganda machine. You need to know which sources on SubStack to trust. The Meaning in History blog is certainly one of the reliably honest and accurate ones and we can all thank Mark’s dedication and selfless commitment for that.

The United States is a dying but very dangerous animal, as all predators become when cornered and injured. The answer to whether Trump is an NPC or not is yes and no. Past presidents were always more controllable (by the deep state) than Trump but anyone in his position is only as effective as his advisors and the information presented to him. Furthermore Trump’s dearth of historical context, his lack of any interest in reading security briefings, and his huge ego combined with dirty tricks played on him from the Russian Hoax to all the law-fare activities against him have made him a danger to the entire planet. Add Anglo-Zionist influence (Trump worships money and power) and here we are today on the precipice.

Nutmeg's avatar

https://x.com/ArmchairAdml/status/2020197262710727057

A total of 112 U.S. Air Force C-17's have now either arrived or are en route to the Middle East with a further 17-18 in-progress flights, a number of Royal Air Force logistics flights from RAF Marham to RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus, and movement on U.S. Air Force CORONETs

This large of an arms build up sort of implies the negotiations again are just a ruse.

Antiwar7's avatar

The biggest danger is a potential nuclear war, as some of Mark's sources said. This should be brought up front and center in every discussion of a potential war on Iran, and to Trump!

The 12 Day War showed that Iran can clobber Israel. Israel was begging them to stop, and they had barely gotten started. So in the next war, Israel would be devastated. We know they're evil and violent enough to launch their nukes in response. (Look up the Samson Option.) And once the nukes start flying, all bets are off (sorry, Polymarket). It's so obvious. Why isn't everyone talking about this?

Does Trump care more about his donors than about starting a nuclear war? Does he even know about this possibility? If not, if anyone can, please let him know!

Alex's avatar

In a recent interview, Glenn Diesen has talked a bit about his impression of the Iranian people when he visited. He described them as very proud, and with a strong culture of martyrdom.

Unless we have spent a billion or two to pay off half the military leadership there without anyone noticing, the amount of punishment Iranians are going to sustain its likely more than US planners imagine.

Still, I wouldn't underestimate US SEAD capabilities. I think the war would likely start with a significant missile strike, and US, UK (from Cyprus) and Israel would only then begin tactical strikes.

I think the question of losses isn't going to be a few planes downed in Iranian airspace, it'll be a contest of who can inflict sufficient damage on the other side first. If Iran can sufficiently disable US bases in the region, and inflict crippling damage on Israel, the question of planes and air defence becomes moot.

Mark Wauck's avatar

That's a huge risk, because the two aren't proportional. SEAD capabilities--which Steve Jermy has emphasized in his talks with Danny Davis--won't do anything to stop Iran's missiles. The risk is magnified by lack of knowledge 1. of Iran's full capabilities and 2. the nature and amount of support provided from Russia and China. If claims that Russia has helped Iran build a layered AD are true, then SEAD could face an ultimately insoluble problem:

https://theaviationgeekclub.com/us-navy-ea-18g-pilot-explains-the-difference-between-sead-and-dead-missions/

"The SEAD/DEAD mission has become more challenging, as near-peer adversaries such as Russia and China invest in new military capabilities – including complex networked IADS with long-range missiles – that extend the threat envelope of air defense systems."

https://www.defensemagazine.com/article/a-european-problem-called-sead

"The question is, what happens if the US has to redeploy a significant part, if not all, of its available assets to the Western Pacific [or the Middle East] due to the changing security situation in the context of China's continued rise to power? It is very likely that, given the Chinese People's Liberation Army's capabilities and capabilities in the area of air defense, the U.S. Air Force and Navy will need all available capabilities, as, for example, a 2017 RAND Corporation study shows that 4th generation aircraft armed with HARM missiles may no longer be sufficient against advanced Chinese air defense."

https://www.eurasiantimes.com/from-air-superiority-jets-to-layered-defense-ukraine-war/

Ukraine War Proves Multi-Layered Defense, SEAD Missions Hold The Key To Repel Big Enemies; 10 Key Lessons For IAF

"The concept of air superiority implies complete control over the skies within a specific theatre of conflict. Having established air superiority, the dominating air force can operate with relative freedom, while enemy air operations are severely limited, if not entirely suppressed.

"The versatility and effectiveness of modern AD systems make air superiority over the entire adversarial airspace impossible to achieve.

"The long reach of advanced AD systems, such as the Patriot and the S-300, and the ability of shorter-range modern systems, such as NASAMS and Pantsir, to operate in ‘dark’ mode rule out theaterwide air superiority. When operating ‘dark,’ an AD system keeps its search radar off to prevent an attack by an adversary fighter equipped for a SEAD mission armed with an anti-radar missile (ARM).

"Instead of using its own radar to track targets, the dark AD system tracks targets using data streamed over a data link from an altogether different radar (usually an airborne AWACS). As soon as a target comes within missile range, the dark system lights up its missile guidance radar and launches its missile.

"As such, no amount of SEAD effort can ensure that the dominating force can operate freely."

...

This next excerpt applies to the June war as well, when US/IAF planes didn't dare try to operate in Iran's air space but relied on standoff munitions:

"The effectiveness of modern AD systems forces attacking fighters and bombers to launch their bombs and missiles from standoff ranges to ensure their own safety.

"The ammunition used for standoff attacks (cruise missiles, glide bombs, etc.) is considerably more expensive than unguided ammunition (rockets, bombs) for close-range attacks.

"Equally important, the warhead size of long-range guided ammunition is significantly smaller, resulting in less destructive power. The lower speed of the guided ammunition also results in less destruction.

"The cost differential can be considerable when hardened targets need to be attacked. Not only is each guided ammunition more expensive, you need larger numbers to destroy a given target.

"In short, long-range use of air power is less effective."

Alex's avatar

Russia has arguably the best AD/EW systems in the world, and UA doesn't have an airforce to speak of that would warrant any suppression or destruction of those capabilities. Still, with NATO ISR behind them, they generally look for gaps and fly highly specific paths with UAVs and, earlier, cruise missiles to get some through.

Russian air defence systems had a "learning" phase to get recognition patterns for targets they hadn't encountered before, like Storm Shadows. Conversely, Russia has been able to effectively target and take out Patriot batteries in Ukraine. So there's a factor of training as well.

If China can see US THAAD, then the US can see Iranian S300. Hence the point that in the end, the likely outcome would be that the US will do some damage to Iranian air defences, likely not enough to allow air superiority, while the deciding factor is going to be who can dish out enough with UAVs and missiles to get the other side to back off, i.e. who's more tolerant towards sustaining incoming strikes

Mark Wauck's avatar

Mega Geopolitics @MegaGeopolitics

3h

BREAKING:  Chinese satellites have revealed the location of the THAAD air-defense systems recently deployed by the US in Jordan.

This system is the US's main defense equipment against ballistic missiles, and now Iran has the coordinates.

Mimi Alberu's avatar

Vince Lanci just weighed in on the China/US Treasuries story. He seems to be downplaying the geopolitical significance somewhat by pointing out that the directive applies to domestic Chinese banks:

"China Signals Risk Discipline on US Treasuries

Chinese regulators have recently instructed major domestic banks to curb additional exposure to US Treasuries and, in some cases, pare back existing positions, according to people familiar with the discussions. The guidance, delivered verbally and without explicit targets or timelines, was framed as a risk-management measure tied to concentration and volatility concerns rather than a statement on US creditworthiness or geopolitics.

The directive does not apply to China’s official state holdings of Treasuries. Officials emphasized diversification rather than disengagement, even as global investors increasingly debate the safe-haven status of US government debt amid fiscal uncertainty and shifting US policy priorities."

He also notes that China may have moved some of their US Treasury holdings to custodial accounts in Europe.

Mark Wauck's avatar

It's the trend that matters. China isn't looking to start a major currency war, but the trend is clear.

https://www.myrmikan.com/pub/Myrmikan_Research_2026_02_09.pdf

Mimi Alberu's avatar

Agreed. I think Lanci was just quoting Bloomberg reiterating the "official version." Crisis Investing's Lau Vegys chimes in, https://www.crisisinvesting.com/p/china-urges-banks-to-dump-us-debt

Mark Wauck's avatar

Chinese treasuries holdings are half what they were in 2008 and dropping steeply.

Mike richards's avatar

‘In the end, Jatras asked, is Trump a free actor?’

Redundant to this audience I know, but which Western political leaders are ‘free actors’, including the POTUS? Does Jatras live under a rock?

occamsrazorback22's avatar

This comment is clearly anti-emetic. :/

hope4gaia's avatar

Yes, I was just thinking the same this week - one calamity after another all over the world.

But, what is confusing for me is watching videos on youtube that say Trump just lost court cases and the gov took over his properties - plus he was just impeached by Congress and told to resign plus his cabinet all resigned, etc. etc.

I think I'm going to have to give up on youtube entirely because I can't trust anything they say.

David Chere-Bolelwang's avatar

Before all these came to the fore, I developed some sense of worry about the internet in general.. I believe this came about as a result of seeing that my internet connection suddenly stopped fucntioning whenever I clicked on to Mike Adams' Brighteon tv podcasts.. (from Johannesburg)

Mark Wauck's avatar

Meanwhile he's poking Canada in the eye over a bridge--just to make a stupid point?

You need to click on "more" so you can see whether it's AI generated. I agree, Youtube needs to address this. I read a couple of articles about John Mearsheimer trying to stop the impersonations of himself, with little success.

David Chere-Bolelwang's avatar

Excellent.. (from Johannesburg)

Stephen McIntyre's avatar

I saw on X a little while ago where someone posted that a person had made a $100,000 bet on Poly Market that war with Iran would start tonight if that were to happen this particular person would stand to collect $4 million.

In any event, we have Mr. Netanyahu coming for another visit on Wednesday, presumably to put more pressure on the president to start the war.

I think the strategy for Iran will be elect. Trump and Israel shoot their wad, and then retaliate in the most horrific way imaginable. Israel will be the number one target for Iran’s missiles and drones. They will create total devastation there secondary targets will then be the American bases and they are not going to let such a fat target as an aircraft carrier survive if they can hit it with hypersonic missiles.

The thing I fear the most is airstrikes going into Iran because we are going to lose planes and pilots. How is Trump going to make the case for this sacrifice?

If we take anything that looks like a defeat, it will be the end of Donald Trump. It will be the end of the Republicans for the foreseeable future. You will see the Republican party do a 180 in support of Donald Trump. If this turns out to be a disaster. He will become a total pariah, not only his own party, but in the whole country.

There will be a rush in the house, judiciary committee to file articles of impeachment to have him removed from office and you’re going to find Republicans are going to support it. Trump very well could be forced from office although the alternative with JD Vance may not be much better.

Nutmeg's avatar

Wasn't there a $400K bet that the war on Iran would start by January 31st? I think a commentator said that there.

Clyde Griffith's avatar

""The thing I fear the most is airstrikes going into Iran because we are going to lose planes and pilots. How is Trump going to make the case for this sacrifice?""

The thing I fear the most is airstrikes going into Iran because we are going to kill Iranian people and destroy Iranian homes and property.

How is Trump going to make the case for this sacrifice, this crime against humanity and against civilization?

That crime has already been committed, is repeated every day, with every word that Trump or Hegseth or Lady Lindsey of Pompeo utters, calling for death and destruction of Iran.

Where are all of the Christians of this "city on a hill?"

Are there not ten courageous men willing to storm Mar-A-Lago and take Netanyahu into custody, take him to Guantanamo, or Rikers, or the prison in Florence?

Instead, we, the People, valorize the "planes and pilots" who have been seduced to normalize wanton hi-tech killing.

Pray to god for forgiveness. Pray to whatever god you worship that the American people do not meet the retribution they deserve.

aDoozy's avatar

We the People do not want to lose our treasure--our men and women in planes, on ships, on bases. This will happen if the US attacks Iran. The USS Abraham Lincoln has a crew of over 5,000. There are several US destroyers in the waters close to Iran, each with a crew of hundreds. As of a few weeks ago, there are approximately 50,000 personnel on the multiple US bases across the Middle East.

The US and Israel governments talk and threaten and plan, but do they care about lives that would be lost in their efforts to conquer? I think not.

aDoozy's avatar

The lyrics in the song "War Pigs" come to mind:

Politicians hide themselves away

They only started the war

Why should they go out to fight?

They leave that role to the poor

Time will tell on their power minds

Making war just for fun

Treating people just like pawns in chess

Mark Wauck's avatar

Danny Haiphong says this is Netanyahu's 3000th trip to the WH.

Steve Jermy agrees re targeting Israel because it's the easiest target.

Many experts say there can be no semi-effective air campaign without entering Iranian air space--which they didn't dare to do last time. It'll be tougher this time.

It will end his presidency.

dissonant1's avatar

And that might be the best outcome of all (from our limited human perspective).

Clyde Griffith's avatar

"It will end his presidency."

What would happen if Trump arranged for Netanyahu to be arrested?

Would Trump emerge a hero? Would war be averted?