Is A Major Escalation Of The Neocon War On The World In The Works?

Obviously this question is speculative, but there are disturbing signs that the Neocons are looking to escalate their war on the world in significant ways. My overall speculative guess is that their new scheme is to freeze their main enemies (Russia and Iran) in place while solidifying their own geostrategic position for the bigger push to come. The overall strategy remains the same, but the speed bumps (in their view) in Ukraine and the Middle East require some recalibration.

First of all, Israel has screwed up in Gaza, as foreseen. The genocide there, while satisfying to Zionist sensibilities, is simply taking far too long and has raised far too many problems for the Neocons in terms of world opinion, military responses and trade blockades, and maintaining political control in the US. That means that Israel will need to—here comes that new Neocon concept—freeze the conflict in Gaza and pivot to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Megatron @Megatron_ron

 According to Israeli sources, the Israeli army is losing control in Gaza more and more and is withdrawing.

The red territory is all that remained under the control of the IDF.

Northern Gaza is back under Hamas control.

6:01 AM · Feb 2, 2024

For all the tough talk, I believe Israel understands that it is in no position to actually invade Lebanon. The Neocons/Israel Lobby/Israel are determined to get the US into the Middle East war in a major way. An open declaration of war on Iran is unworkable at the present time, so an escalation in Lebanon that will present the picture of an existential threat to Israel may be the ticket for US entry in a major way. Megatron has been pushing this view for quite a while, and I’ve held back—believing that the Zhou regime really does want to avoid a regional war. It’s still up in the air, IMO, but it seems more possible than before that Zhou is being maneuvered into a big war. This tweet explains Megatron’s overview of what the Neocon plan is:

Israeli Defense Minister Gallant:

"There will be no ceasefire with Hezbollah and Lebanon."

"Hezbollah is very mistaken if it believes that Israel will cease fire in Lebanon after the ceasefire in Gaza

As long as we do not reach a situation where the residents of the north can return safely, we will not stop the fire in Lebanon."

According to Israeli Media Outlets (Ynet), the Israeli Air Force has called up retired pilots between the ages of 54 and 55 due to critical need of experienced pilots for the air force.

Megatron: Chances are the ceasefire with Hamas is only to give Israel an opportunity to prepare for a major war with Hezbollah. The US will bomb Hezbollah in Iraq and Syria, while Israel will go to war with them on the Lebanese border. Everything will be clear in a few days. In the next 48 hours, the Pentagon announced the beginning of the bombing campaign.

My understanding of what to expect if Megatron is correct: The “retaliatory strike” by the US is being billed to last for weeks, if not months. This will be cover for the major operation—the strikes will be supposed to keep Iran at bay and occupied while Israel unleashes a bombing campaign of unparalleled savagery in Lebanon (no real “invasion” unless Hezbollah buckles). All of this should lead to major retaliation by Hezbollah and, probably, Iran. That will be the pretext to expand the war.

All cautions—by Macgregor and others—remain operational. The US is not prepared for this and the retaliation against both our interests and Israel could be devastating. Those cautions will not stop the Neocons, who are always overconfident that their strategery will overcome reality on the ground—cf. Ukraine. As always, to the question of what Iran will do there is also the Russian wildcard. Much of this may not be entirely baked in, but this appears to be the trajectory. We’ll have to see how this develops. It could start tonight:

The U.S. bombing campaign against Iranian targets across Syria and Iraq is expected to begin within 48 hours – WSJ quoting Pentagon Officials

Pay attention to this next tweet. Qatar is a hop, skip, and a jump away from Iran. If the US uses Al Udeid in these strikes—not unlikely—that is a challenge to Iran, but also places Sunni Arab governments in the region in a very difficult position with their populations.

Rybar Force @rybar_force

Here is the reason for the mass transfer of KC-135R strategic refueling tankers and C-17 heavy transport aircraft to Mildenhall (UK) and El Udeid (Qatar) air bases a few days ago.

At least two B-1B bombers are currently flying to the Middle East after flying from the continental United States to Britain's Lakenheath Air Base.

They are highly likely to land in Qatar at the El Udeid base, which has been the site of their deployment more than once in previous escalations with Iran.

Another option is the Chagos Archipelago in the Indian Ocean, but as part of planned attacks on pro-Iranian forces in Syria and Iraq, it would be much more convenient to take off from Qatar.

11:31 AM · Feb 2, 2024

The big prize in the Middle East, from a Neocon geostrategic perspective, is probably to collapse growing Russian influence and to detach Saudi Arabia from BRICS. The big picture reverts to the pipe dream of an Israel - Sunni alliance against Iran with pressure on Turkey to allow NATO entry to the Black Sea.

That being the case, how will the Neocons freeze Russia into focusing on Europe to the extent that Russia will refrain from an active role in the Middle East? Readers will undoubtedly be aware that the past months have seen three developments in the Ukraine situation. First, the US and NATO are once again upping the ante by providing advanced weaponry to Ukraine—yesterday saw the agreement to provide Ukraine, almost immediately, with longish range guided bombs (90 km.) that haven’t even been issued to US forces yet. There was also Nuland in Kiev this week announcing battlefield “surprises” for Russia and generally beating the war drums. With the devastation of Ukrainian manpower, this appears to be the only way to keep Ukraine fighting. Secondly, there have been more instances of Ukrainian terror and industrial sabotage attacks inside Russia. Thirdly, the US is rushing to set up bases in northern Finland and Sweden, within striking range of Russia’s key ice free Arctic port of Murmansk—a threat Russia will find difficult to ignore.

Kim Dotcom takes note of some of this, and launches:

Kim Dotcom @KimDotcom

Zelenskyy has lost the power struggle. His exit is coming in the next few weeks. Victoria Nuland met with his successor on her visit to Ukraine.

Watch these players:

Zaluzhny, Budanov, Poroshenko.

Those are the whispers.

12:55 PM · Feb 1, 2024

Whispers = Rumors

If it’s true it would be a massive PR problem for the West. Zelenskyy is their Churchill, remember? Standing ovations in parliaments around the world, hugs and kisses from world leaders, Person of the year and superhero to Blinken’s kids.

Let’s wait and see.

My money is still on Budanov replacing Zaluzhny. Nuland needs someone unhinged enough to attack the Russian oil and gas industry. The US Govt blew up NordStream 2 and got away with it. Ukraine is losing badly on the battlefield. Expect more industrial terrorism and false flags.

OK. Granted, this is all speculative. Nevertheless, if the Neocons don’t escalate they won’t end up treading water. It’ll be sink or swim. Desperate times.