GOPers Are Claiming Huge Urban Voter Deficit
Across multiple states—including key swing states—urban voters have not been turning out. That, of course, means that—disproportionately—Dems aren’t bothering to vote. Yes, we’re talking about early voting, but in previous elections this has been a key part of Dem turnout. Anecdotally, in my very blue suburb of Chicago, judging from yard signs—and comparing to past elections—you’d hardly know there was an election. And yet … city hall has been swamped with early voters, judging from the parked up streets and parking lots. Does that mean that Dems are turned off (lack of yard signs) and old people concerned about the cost of living are turning out for Trump? I dunno.
While GOP turnout in early voting has been heavy, reports (below) are that Trump retains a 16 point edge (56-40) among election day voters—which is fairly typical. What’s not typical is the big drop among urban voters and female voters. When you look at the numbers taken from a Dem analyst, the only way to make sense of them is that urban females aren’t voting, which spells huge problems for Dems.
TGP has the text of a memo that the GOP leaked. Make of it what you will. This doesn’t look like just a come on to GOPers to turn out, because they’re putting out numbers. Another indicator of something big happening?
Leaked NBC Election Night Rehearsal Shows Trump Winning Swing States
Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,
Footage has leaked online of an NBC News dry run of election night, and interestingly it shows president Trump winning the swing states.
Here’s the leaked memo from TGP:
New Leaked Memo Confirms Democrats’ Alarming Turnout Crisis in Key Battleground States
According to the leaked memo from Tim Saler, Chief Data Consultant for the Republican National Committee, Democrats are facing a staggering deficit in urban turnout across battleground states.
This is not just a minor blip; it signals a catastrophic decline in support for Harris, or maybe those weren’t real “people” in 2020.
According to the confidential memo:
With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit. In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own “data experts” and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout.
Obama’s former campaign manager, Jim Messina, said on MSNBC that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.” What Mr. Messina is downplaying, is they are a lot scarier for Democrats. According to NBC News, President Donald Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day. Obama’s chief campaign strategist and CNN political commentator, David Axelrod, told CNN that there are no guarantees that voters will turn out on Election Day for Vice President Harris.
Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that’s asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing. If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?
President Donald J. Trump is going into Election Day stronger than he has in any previous election and if patriots across the country keep the momentum and turn out as expected on Election Day, we will be swearing in President Trump in January.
But you don’t need to take our word for it. According to Democrat data expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart:
Arizona:
Urban turnout is down -385,285 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -170,011 votes compared to this point in 2020 Rural turnout is UP +14,124 votes compared to this point in 2020
Georgia:
Urban turnout is down -153,846 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -46,732 votes compared to this point in 2020 Rural turnout is UP +171,837 votes compared to this point in 2020
Michigan:
Urban turnout is down -321,523 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -204,856 votes compared to this point in 2020 Rural turnout is UP +55,951 votes compared to this point in 2020
North Carolina:
Urban turnout is down -175,470 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -154,459 votes compared to this point in 2020 Rural turnout is UP +26,911 votes compared to this point in 2020
Nevada:
Urban turnout is down -191,199 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -126,112 votes compared to this point in 2020
Pennsylvania:
Urban turnout is down -381,519 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -450,802 votes compared to this point in 2020
Wisconsin:
Urban turnout is down -100,733 votes compared to this point in 2020 Female turnout is down -238,452 votes compared to this point in 2020
BREAKING: New memo confirms that Democrats are facing a huge turnout issue in the battlegrounds.
PA: Urban turnout is down 381K votes, female turnout is down 450K votes.
WI: Urban down 100K, female down 238K. pic.twitter.com/azDBWGHSx4
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 4, 2024
Red State is running with this story, too:
Why they would bite their thumbs I don’t know, but …
On election night 2020 I went to bed thinking Trump had won. Then I woke up to all of the early morning vote drops for Biden. What does all this late breaking data tell me? Nothing much yet. I’ve had my hopes dashed too many times, most recently by the 2022 red wave that wasn’t even a ripple.
My heartfelt appreciation to all of you fellow wonderful MIH commenters and especially to Mark. Like all of you, I have my own hopes and fears around the election tomorrow.
If you want an ultra-realistic view of where we are militarily now, here is Schryver:
https://imetatronink.substack.com/p/betting-the-farm-on-the-imaginary?publication_id=1085164&post_id=151175365&isFreemail=true&r=rjj5o&triedRedirect=true
If you want a view of the current macro economic and geopolitical and cultural implications of the U.S. election, Tom L. and Alex K. are in very good form here (26:00 - 45:00):
https://matthewehret.substack.com/p/us-election-roundtable-special-featuring?publication_id=260045&post_id=151140974&isFreemail=true&r=rjj5o&triedRedirect=true
If you want some more good potential news:
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/leaked-nbc-election-night-rehearsal-shows-trump-winning-swing-states
If you want a cautionary view of the current mechanics and the corruption around our current election process:
https://www.infowars.com/posts/exclusive-has-obama-already-stolen-the-election-for-kamala-harris-as-patrick-byrne-claims-alex-jones-responds/
In the end the next few days will tell the tale. What you can do is vote according to your conscience and influence those in your social circle to vote accordingly. May God be with us and increase our faith as he uses us to ensure His will is accomplished on earth. His Will will be done regardless of what WE think should happen or is happening. Thank you.