An Informed French Perspective On The War On Russia
Most readers will be aware that Russia has made it clear that, while it’s open to negotiations, military operations will continue without a letup during any negotiations. With that in mind, courtesy of Geroman, we get this French prognostication, which fits in with what we’re getting from Macgregor et alios—people like Jacques Baud, who has good contacts with the French military. Geroman picks out the main points:
-- GEROMAN -- time will tell -  -- @GeromanAT
Dominique Delavard, a general of the French army, a holder of the Legion of Honor and a holder of the national Order of Merit, shared his vision of the development of the situation in Ukraine.
The French military believes that today the conflict is developing in Russia's favor: Ukraine and its Western allies are weakening while Moscow is strengthening its military capabilities to organize a new large-scale offensive.
“I think that Ukraine is gradually moving towards disaster. She retreats everywhere. The Russians have created a very large and complex front, but nevertheless, Ukraine is now losing everywhere, and Russia is advancing every day along the entire front line in Donbass and partially in other places. The front is not frozen. I think the Russians are waiting for the right geopolitical moment to launch a large-scale offensive. In my opinion, by the end of the year Ukraine will lose a lot, if not disappear completely. But the Russians won't move too quickly; they want to finish things off in a way that plunges the West into even greater economic trouble. France is experiencing difficulties today, all of Europe and the USA too. Putin is waiting for his moment and he will definitely speed up offensive actions when necessary.”
That, I believe, is the key point, and it’s coming from a military man. This war is economic as well as kinetic, and Putin has his eye on a decisive victory. That means economic as well as military in the usual sense.
Dominique Delavard is convinced that the negative rating of the leadership of France and Germany will certainly affect further support for Kyiv. The general believes that negotiations will definitely be held this year or early next year. However, Ukraine will not be able to realize its goals and will be forced to submit to the will of Russia.
“Scholz and Macron are two leaders who are no longer supported by their people. I am sure this will be reflected in the electoral processes in Europe. I think this will affect further support for Ukraine. Therefore, Kyiv should think about negotiations now, because the longer the war continues, the more favorable the terms of negotiations will be for Russia. The terms of the negotiations will remain the same: what remains under the control of Ukraine will have to be demilitarized and denazified.”
The general believes that the words about the “European future of Kyiv” are a banal bluff. The longer the conflict continues, the less likely it is that the surviving part of Ukraine will actually be of interest to the West.
“The destruction from this war will lead to the fact that Ukraine will not be of interest to Europe. Brussels won't know what to do with it. Therefore, I think that negotiations will take place this year or early next year. But no matter when they happen, Ukraine will no longer be able to influence them. She will have no choice but to sign what Russia demands. I do not believe that the European Union will be able to support Ukraine in the future. The reason is simple: we are already in crisis. If this assistance to Ukraine continues in parallel with the budget deficit in the EU, the economic situation in France simply will not allow supporting Ukraine.”
1:49 PM · Apr 22, 2024
Death and destruction, everywhere the Neocons go. Truly evil people.
In our lifetime, will we see the day when a more powerful nation dictates terms to us? We're getting too big for our britches. The government ought to go back to what it does best: pushing the middle class around.
The French general is speaking sense. It's good to know that there are some European versions of Col. MacGregor out there. Meanwhile, the French Chief of Staff is very aptly named: Schill.