I long ago stopped trying to keep up with daily activity on the Ukraine front of the Neocon War on the World. Lacking the expertise or in depth knowledge of events on the ground, I have no way of assessing any big picture significance that may emerge from such granular data on a daily basis. However, there’s a significant buzz over Russian activity in the Kharkov direction (that’s the Russian spelling, it’s Kharkiv in Ukrainian). Emerging reports suggest that this could be the beginning of something major, as the muddy spring season draws toward its end.
Interested to know why the notion of another "Neocon war" is so widely shared in this and other circles. To me, as a Ukrainian-American born in Ukraine and aware of Ukraine's bloody history with Russia, I explain the war as Russia intent on reestablishing its colonial empire., and grinding down not only Ukrainians, but Georgians and Chechens and any other former "colonial upstarts" at any price.
You're a perfect example of how easily people filled with mindless hate can be manipulated by the likes of Nuland to sacrifice your entire nation for Neocon Globalist ambitions. Ukraine could have had a decent peace in which to try to come to grips with it's deep social and political problems, instead US politicians crow about how Ukrainians by the hundreds of thousands are dying for American Empire. Hate makes stupid.
I've got a post scheduled for later where my two-cents begins with:
The new Russian offensive is in the north, from Russia into the Kharkhiv Oblast (province). Most media considers Russia’s goal to be the city of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second largest city. It could eventually be, but that would take a major effort that Russia doesn’t seem to be committing to.
Instead, they are probably aiming for a buffer zone so that Ukraine is less able to randomly drop missiles on the Russian citizens of Belgorod. It also has to stop the one thing the Ukrainians have recently been good at, which is drone attacking its oil depots.
Sure, Russia took a 100km2 yesterday, captured up to 12 villages, posted that Ukraine had suffered 1620 casualties (across the whole frontline), and that it captured 34 of them. There are also reports of Ukrainians abandoning their positions because, without support, they were guaranteed to die.
Blood, guts and territory clearly made it a victorious day for Russia. When the town of Vovchansk (17,459) likely falls this month, it’ll keep fuelling media alarmism that dents Ukrainian morale.
I’m just not ready to buy into attack on Kharkhiv city yet. And a buffer zone needs to be made all the way through Sumy and Chernihiv oblasts to Belarus.
Ukraine may be in a terrible position but has been for a long time. Their front lines have withdrawn instead of collapsing. Russia continues to have many small victories but hasn’t had a major since Avdeevka. What I’m saying is that the war carries on, one or a thousand dead soldiers at a time. A lot comes down to how long Ukraine can keep ‘making’ soldiers.
The attack in the north will challenge the already stretched Ukrainian army. This will give the Russians an opportunity in some places that have been mostly stagnant, possibly along the 150km stretch from Kupyansk to Siversk in the north-east.
50km south-west of Siversk is the major battle for the strategic point of Chasiv Yar. That will eventually be won by the Russians but a lot of people are dying for it.
The next Ukrainian town to fall will likely be Krasnohorivka. It lies west of Donetsk and previously had a population of 16,714. A bunch of nearby villages have been captured, and more will follow. It would make sense for Russia to secure this region before committing too big in Kharkiv.
Your chess analogy is an excellent one. I think it also applies to the overall geopolitical situation: the globalists and the neocons can see that they are losing, they know what all the possible moves and countermoves are, and there’s nothing they can do except play the game through until the end.
Interested to know why the notion of another "Neocon war" is so widely shared in this and other circles. To me, as a Ukrainian-American born in Ukraine and aware of Ukraine's bloody history with Russia, I explain the war as Russia intent on reestablishing its colonial empire., and grinding down not only Ukrainians, but Georgians and Chechens and any other former "colonial upstarts" at any price.
You're a perfect example of how easily people filled with mindless hate can be manipulated by the likes of Nuland to sacrifice your entire nation for Neocon Globalist ambitions. Ukraine could have had a decent peace in which to try to come to grips with it's deep social and political problems, instead US politicians crow about how Ukrainians by the hundreds of thousands are dying for American Empire. Hate makes stupid.
I've got a post scheduled for later where my two-cents begins with:
The new Russian offensive is in the north, from Russia into the Kharkhiv Oblast (province). Most media considers Russia’s goal to be the city of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second largest city. It could eventually be, but that would take a major effort that Russia doesn’t seem to be committing to.
Instead, they are probably aiming for a buffer zone so that Ukraine is less able to randomly drop missiles on the Russian citizens of Belgorod. It also has to stop the one thing the Ukrainians have recently been good at, which is drone attacking its oil depots.
Sure, Russia took a 100km2 yesterday, captured up to 12 villages, posted that Ukraine had suffered 1620 casualties (across the whole frontline), and that it captured 34 of them. There are also reports of Ukrainians abandoning their positions because, without support, they were guaranteed to die.
Blood, guts and territory clearly made it a victorious day for Russia. When the town of Vovchansk (17,459) likely falls this month, it’ll keep fuelling media alarmism that dents Ukrainian morale.
I’m just not ready to buy into attack on Kharkhiv city yet. And a buffer zone needs to be made all the way through Sumy and Chernihiv oblasts to Belarus.
Ukraine may be in a terrible position but has been for a long time. Their front lines have withdrawn instead of collapsing. Russia continues to have many small victories but hasn’t had a major since Avdeevka. What I’m saying is that the war carries on, one or a thousand dead soldiers at a time. A lot comes down to how long Ukraine can keep ‘making’ soldiers.
The attack in the north will challenge the already stretched Ukrainian army. This will give the Russians an opportunity in some places that have been mostly stagnant, possibly along the 150km stretch from Kupyansk to Siversk in the north-east.
50km south-west of Siversk is the major battle for the strategic point of Chasiv Yar. That will eventually be won by the Russians but a lot of people are dying for it.
The next Ukrainian town to fall will likely be Krasnohorivka. It lies west of Donetsk and previously had a population of 16,714. A bunch of nearby villages have been captured, and more will follow. It would make sense for Russia to secure this region before committing too big in Kharkiv.
like chess is a good analogy.
The build up has been in progress for the last few months, more noticeable in the last 2.
Ukraine precipitated this action by bombing civilian targets across the border especially in Belgorod. Seems like very odd behaviour.
The Western curators for some reason wanted Russia to react in this manner.
Your chess analogy is an excellent one. I think it also applies to the overall geopolitical situation: the globalists and the neocons can see that they are losing, they know what all the possible moves and countermoves are, and there’s nothing they can do except play the game through until the end.
Correct assessment. The Russians will keep on probing until something breaks. I wonder how Victoria Nudelman is feeling today?
I wish her long life with all my heart. Maybe I will even congratulate her regularly.
Zugswang!
Well, there have been some pretty decent Russian chess players.