10 Comments

Netanyahu in his statement admitted that the IOF is stressed and needs to rest. Read between the lines a bit ...

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Many in the ME are seeing this as a betrayal.

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A betrayal of Hez. and the Axis.

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Israel only makes decisions based on internal Israeli domestic politics per Kissinger. The KIA and wounded, with lack of progress on territory spread through Israeli’s population through word of mouth, and forced the issue. Israel is not set up long wars. If it was US pressure, there would be a ceasefire in Gaza.

Herzbolla’s official reason does not pass the smell test. Perhap the Sunni refugees from Syria have reset the political equation in Lebanon, making Herzbolla’s control not as absolute. Perhaps Irans control of Herzbolla has lessened after the killing of much of the Herzbolla leadership? Pressure from the Gulf States? Perhaps missile stocks were low? Running out of munitions? Quick quid pro that somehow benefits Iran? Is there a Russian angle? Will Herzbolla be getting a Russian air defense network? Will Syria?

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Re Gaza, I would say, not necessarily. Trump has said he wants the war on Gaza to end by the time he's inaugurated. That's pressure of a sort. The Zhou admin has also been pushing for a ceasefire in Gaza. This ceasefire may have something to do with the *cumulative* effect of the wars on both fronts on US preparedness.

Re Sunni refugees in Lebanon, I doubt that they are being targeted by Israel or even that they are located in the areas south of Beirut. The populations being targeted remain Shiite primarily and secondarily Christians, some of whom are in political alliance with Hezbollah--that's more likely to be the political pressure.

I believe that "control" is the wrong word to use re Iran--influence more exactly describes the relationship. Nor are there any discernible signs that Hezbollah is running low on munitions. Rather, a reset of strategy may be under way, which may include, as you suggest, preparation for a more aggressive Russian use of air defense assets.

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The fact that Israel accepted this humiliating ceasefire is a strong indication that they don't think Hezb is running low on munitions.

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Hussein @EyesOnSouth1

So “Israel” waged a war on Lebanon just to go back to the same agreement the Resistance forced on them in 2006.

Meanwhile, northern settlers, those of whom are willing return, will have to reside meters away from the fighters that humiliated their army in southern Lebanon.

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Israeli TV:

Megatron @Megatron_ron

NEW:

 Only 26% of Israelis say they believe Israel 'won the war' against Hezbollah, while 61% say Israel did not win, and 13% are unsure

1:58 PM · Nov 26, 2024

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What's "winning"? Hez is still there and the ceasefire will be violated at some point soon. Do any Israeli settlers want to live in northern Israel in the range of Hez rockets? A tiny country the size of Vermont has effectively had to cede territory to Hez.

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Each side will be looking for a new advantage. I don't see things getting better for Israel.

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