Testing, Testing, ...

Heading out for the next appointment in minutes, but …

Will Schryver @imetatronink

 Reiterating what I have been saying in recent days:

- Israel cannot launch a meaningful strike against Iran absent massive US operational collaboration.

- If the US assists Israel in striking Iran, all US military assets in the region — aircraft and bases — will be targeted.

10:08 PM · Oct 5, 2024

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Armchair Warlord @ArmchairW

Y'know, I was thinking that the only possible thing the Iranians could do to put a bolder underline on their message to Netanyahu would be to conduct a nuclear test.

Now we have a suspicious earthquake in the central Iranian desert.

At this point there are no coincidences.

10:54 PM · Oct 5, 2024

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Armchair Warlord @ArmchairW

I mean I'm not a seismologist but that graph on the right looks like a test to me.

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Will Schryver @imetatronink

If this was what it increasingly appears to have been, then I submit it was less a "test" than a demonstration of long-established capability.

And given the already demonstrated Iranian missile capability, I submit it is likely they have achieved both miniaturization and MIRVs.

9:32 PM · Oct 6, 2024

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Will Schryver @imetatronink

 Many people have been summarily dismissing the possibility of an Iranian nuclear "test" by referencing the United States Geological Survey's report that it occurred at a depth of 10km.

The USGS itself explains the mystery:

https://usgs.gov/faqs/why-do-so-many-earthquakes-occur-a-depth-10km…

10:11 PM · Oct 6, 2024