SWC Does The Numbers In PA; Althouse Offers Hope
UPDATED already to add the second part of Shipwreckedcrew's analysis of PA.
Shipwreckedcrew is optimistic that Trump can pull it out in PA. Read his article with WI and MI in mind, because the same numbers factor in:
Now Down To Just A Few Hundred Thousand Ballots In Pennsylvania -- Pres. Trump's Margin Should Hold
In this article--to be followed by a second one--SWC plays the numbers straight. His point is that, taking the numbers at face value, Trump's lead should hold. The second article will address the real issue: massive fraud. I'll admit, I'm pretty clueless about election law, so maybe SWC can clue us in as to what Giuliani's team of lawyers can realistically do.
UPDATE: SWC has his fraud analysis out. He runs the numbers to show what would be clear indicators of fraud:
Here's his conclusion:
Voter participation in Obama’s best year (2008) was 63.7%.
So 65% voter participation out of Philly would be better than either Clinton or Obama.
70% voter participation would be historically high for Philly.
75% participation in Philly, with Biden getting more than 85% of the votes, is just printing ballots in the names of people who have not voted, running them through the machine, and stealing the election.
When you look at the final figures out of Philadephia, anything involving a total vote of over 825,000, with Biden receiving more than 700,000 votes, is the Democrat political machine in Philly stealing the election by manufacturing votes.
I’m going to see if I can find similar data for Milwaukee and Detroit over the next few hours. Pennsylvania had easily accessible voter registration numbers which made the above analysis quite easy.
Ann Althouse notes that there are some real bright spots to this election. I can't vouch for the accuracy of the commenter's claims, but I wanna believe. I'm not gonna hold my breath waiting for that House majority, but at the least this voter shot across the Dem bow should slow them down.
November 4, 2020
House Democrats stunned that they didn't oust a single GOP incumbent.
[B]y Wednesday morning, party officials and the rank and file were in panic mode as they awaited the results of nearly 20 members of the Democrats’ historic freshman class that handed the party control of the House just two years ago. And already they were saying goodbye to at least a half-dozen of their centrist Democratic colleagues, who were stunned by GOP challengers on Tuesday, including Abby Finkenauer in Iowa and Donna Shalala in Florida....
“It’s a dumpster fire,” said one lawmaker, who declined to be named.... Democrats were already engaging in rapid-fire finger-pointing ... Several centrist Democrats blamed their more progressive colleagues, saying moderates in Trump-leaning districts couldn’t escape their “socialist” shadow....
Posted by Ann Althouse at 3:18 PM
Tags: 2020 elections , biden , Congress , Mi tch McConnell
40 COMMENTS:
rcpjr said...
It could get worse for Democrats. Right now the GOP has won 185 seats. There are 52 races still to be called, and the GOP leads in 33. 185 + 33 = 218. That's a House majority, folks. Cannot believe no one is talking about this.