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Felix Abt's avatar

The Architecture of a Crisis Manufactured by Hostile Foreign Powers.

An exclusive exposé on the hidden forces, intelligence networks, and propaganda machinery fueling turmoil in Iran.

https://felixabt.substack.com/p/the-architecture-of-a-crisis-manufactured

Mark Wauck's avatar

Will Schryver isn't afraid to take a hard position:

Will Schryver @imetatronink

14h

 The Simple Facts of the Matter

If the US/Israel had in fact decisively defeated Iran in the so-called "12-Day War" in the summer of 2025, there would be ZERO reluctance for them to reprise their great victory here in the winter of 2026.

BUT THERE CLEARLY IS.

Neither the US nor Israel has any interest whatsoever in starting up another war with Iran.

And it is perfectly obvious that the Gulf Sheikdoms are overwhelmingly opposed to the idea as well.

I figure Trump will continue to strut and talk tough for a few days, maybe even send a few B-52s and B-2s to Diego Garcia for a long weekend. But in the end, nothing will come of it — because they are genuinely afraid of the potential consequences.

Clyde Griffith's avatar

Thank you, Mary Ellen, for sharing your husband's skills and dedication to help others find meaning is the destructive history that is unfolding.

Michel Quoist: "Prayer is political action."

Mark Wauck's avatar

Megatron @Megatron_ron

17h

BREAKING:

 Trump has decided to attack Iran, but the scope and timing of the response are still unknown - Reuters

BREAKING:

Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries are pressuring the U.S. not to attack Iran, warning that the consequences would be 'catastrophic'

Clyde Griffith's avatar

Saudis attack UAE weapons transport to South Yemen Transitional Council (STC)

https://trendcompass.substack.com/p/saudi-arabia-vs-uae-a-new-escalation

"The fighting in Yemen is related to Sudan as one of the main strategic objectives."

and

" UAE also appears to be supporting separatist Druze organizations in Syria which are also aligned with Israel. Then there’s UAE’s role in the Horn of Africa and Israel’s recognition of the breakaway region of Somaliland."

---Annoying Saudi Arabia, which claims moves are destabilizing.

Saudis gained Egyptian support for this position.

Mark Wauck's avatar

Thanks, fascinating--KSA has the backing of both Egypt and Turkey in this, probably Pakistan as well.

Mark Wauck's avatar

Iran has warned US allies in the Middle East it will strike American bases on their soil if the United States attacks Iran - Reuters

Mark Wauck's avatar

Megatron @Megatron_ron

1h

NEW:

 Some U.S. personnel were told to leave Al-Udeid Airbase in Qatar by evening of today, according to three diplomatic sources – Reuters

Mark Wauck's avatar

MenchOsint @MenchOsint

2h

"When the USA starts acting, ignoring all the norms that they themselves have been promoting, it suggests that our American colleagues are unreliable" - Lavrov

Mark Wauck's avatar

Arya - آریا

@AryJeay

Iran’s intelligence has seized a large shipment of illegal Starlink devices & other advanced electronics meant for espionage and sabotage.

The shipment came from a “country in the region” & was meant to be distributed in unrest-hit provinces.

Some of the equipment was also intended for espionage near military & missile sites for the next war.

Mark Wauck's avatar

DD Geopolitics @DD_Geopolitics

9h

 Unusual USAF tanker activity over Hawaii

Within roughly one hour, 8 U.S. Air Force KC-135R/T aerial refueling aircraft landed in Hawaii, while at least 2 additional KC-135R/Ts departed Hawaii heading west.

KC-135s are not cargo or troop transports. Their primary role is aerial refueling, enabling long-range air operations by fighters, bombers, and ISR aircraft. Large, clustered tanker movements are typically associated with:

• Force projection

• Forward positioning for sustained air operations

• Exercises or contingency preparation

• Support for bomber or strike packages

Hawaii (especially Mokapu / Joint Base Pearl Harbor–Hickam) is a key Pacific logistics and refueling hub, bridging the continental U.S. and the Western Pacific.

Nutmeg's avatar

https://x.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/2011239081196290232

"There will be no Iranian regime." Amir Avivi, founder and chairman of IDSF and retired brigadier general, predicts an imminent US-led attack on Iran with Israeli support, saying the regime "stands no chance."

Joe's avatar

.

US SUPREME COURT RULING ON TARIFFS

SCOTUS rules tariffs are unauthorized under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act

(IEEPA) Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, 343 U.S. 579; 1952

ISSUES A STAY (90-120 day) for congressional action - Congress approves the tariffs

====================================================

Well I did my research and this is what I have found / my ruling

I've said it for months but add the caselaw

.

Joe's avatar

Tariffs Unauthorized - Stay Issued

Preserves the status quo temporarily

Enabling refunds ONLY if Congress fails to act

Shifting tariff authority toward legislature - Congress and Senate

Where it belongs

.Congress will act

The Democrats will scream and rant and rave and huff and puff

But they will pass it / approve ( possibly on the last possible day )

.

ML's avatar

“Where it belongs” bingo!

Joe's avatar

If I were the Supreme Court ( and should be ) and writing the decision

I would absolutely keep it this short and simple ===

Very Short And Simple - of course a short factual lead in but that would be the gist of it

Finding of Facts Conclusion of Law - Judgment

STAY VALIDITY Smith v. Spizzirri (2024), the Court clarified mandatory stays pending arbitration, emphasizing preservation of status quo. More broadly, Rule 41 of the Federal Rules of Appellate Procedure allows stays of mandate up to 90 days (extendable)

Todd E Smekens's avatar

So Trump learned nothing from his tariff war with China earlier this year? Also, has China stopped buying soybeans from our farmers, and will they stop rare earths from coming to the US military?

This obsession with Iran is as bad as the one with China and Russia. You'd think the idiots from the EU were calling the shots. Is it General Kaja Kallas?

Personally, I've been saying that Russia called their invasion of Ukraine a SMO, so the press won't call it World War III, but that is exactly what it is. It's not even a proxy war anymore.

Our attacks on Venezuela have all been acts of war. Our "containment" of China is an act of war. So, who aren't we at war with? I see us active all over the globe in every region, and it's escalating, so at what point can we officially call it WW3?

What's the point of having a National Security Strategic "PLAN" for someone who thinks and acts like Trump?

ROBERT Incognito's avatar

Doug McGregor on Danny Davis was saying how long Iraq held up during the 2003 invasion. But what he didn’t mention was the (secret) CIA, MI6 and Mossad operations in the region and their ulterior motives. Was the U.S. and Israel playing both sides since they both love war and chaos so much? Too bad Trump hasn’t been able to or doesn’t want to reign in the intel community like he promised. So we (the American people) are just helpless spectators in the whole sordid situation.

I’m beginning to believe Trump was just controlled opposition by the deep state in order to continue its control and pillage of the West.

Clyde Griffith's avatar

"I’m beginning to believe Trump was just controlled opposition by the deep state in order to continue its control and pillage of ...."

Ukraine (Eastern Europe) was the original source for the passionate quest to "return to zion." Most Jews in the world lived in E. Europe; those Jews had grievances against Russians; Polish leaders sought to divest Poland of its "3 million surplus Jews," but according to Ilan Pappé, neither Britain nor USA not any other European state where Jews had assimilated (that included, most forcefully, Jewish elites in those states), wanted them.

Pappé said "Herzl told European leaders that Palestine project was for Eastern European Jews;" and Balfour himself said, "Thank god. Britain does not want them." [One of Chaim Weizmann's main strategies in gaining British sign-on to the Balfour declaration was to seek out 'closet' antisemites like Balfour.)

The point: the Ukraine SMO and the Gaza genocide and the plan to attack Iran are all of a piece; the fulfillment of a long, long, long agenda.

Stephen McIntyre's avatar

One of the obvious questions is going to be just how many patriot missiles we can supply. I really didn’t think we had any extra THAD systems left. I thought we had used up most of those with Ukraine and Israel.

If Israel and United States decide to format an attack on Iran again I think it’s over for certainly is going to be over for Israel. I am in the agreement of McGregor and Larry Johnson and others that Iran has a huge arsenal of missiles and drones at its disposal..

It’s almost like Israel and Netanyahu have a death wish and daring Iran to put them out of their misery.

Texas Khaan's avatar

High risk, and for what purpose exactly?

Joshua Osborne's avatar

I presume at the behest of their Zionist puppet masters. My take is that Iran in its present form represents an insurmountable obstacle to Israeli domination of the entire Middle East, and that their preference is for the US to bomb or invade, rendering it into a failed state ripe for plunder and partition. The second but less appealing option is to set the stage for the use of nuclear warheads via their German submarines, in “self defence”, of course (lest we forget who the real victims are here). But as has been said before, too much focus is placed on the nefarious aspect of the Zionist’s behaviour, and not the stupidity.

Clyde Griffith's avatar

Said another way, Why is Bibi/ why are zealous zionists AND Christian zionists so passionate about destroying Iran?

It's much more than nukes, or missiles, or even Bibi's wet dream of being king of the entire region.

It's civilizational envy/resentment/inferiority

Iran/Persia IS, in reality, in stone and in irrefutable deep history, everything zionists delude themselves -- and much of the rest of the world -- to think they are.

The very existence of Iran on the face of the earth de-legitimizes the zionist project.

SEE, i.e Haggai Ram, Between Homeland and Exile: Iranian Jewry in Zionist/Israeli Political Thought

https://tinyurl.com/y4df8pfu. (JSTOR, ~30 pages)

dissonant1's avatar

So I guess, geographically, they aren't so hot on the wisdom of the Magi.

Stephen McIntyre's avatar

You are asking a good question as to why they are so maniacal about destroying Iran.

I’m not sure what to base it all partly it certainly has to do with Zionist, thinking that Israel should control all of the land from the border of Egypt to the border of Turkey and to the east of it . All of it is totally unrealistic.

It’s taken 80 years for the truth about the Zionist movement and the founding of Israel to be seen by the world, and we now know that everything we were told was based on lies propaganda , terrorism, and murder.

Israel under Netanyahu has absolutely destroyed every scrap of integrity , what morality they ever had if any, and all credibility with the world stage.

They are without a doubt, a rogue nation of murders, and they have now pulled the United United States into that same way of thinking, and Trump has marched into it without a thought in his head about it.

I have noticed in the last few months the absolute 180° change of some of the people that we all listen to and watch like Colonel McGregor , Larry Johnson, Larry Wilkerson, Scott, Ritter, and many others. They now see Trump as an out of control individual that needs to be removed from office whether it’s by impeachment or the 25th amendment and I believe JD Vance has to go with him along with a total housecleaning of Trump is appointed to a position or an advisory position of importance.

Mark Wauck's avatar

"They now see Trump as an out of control individual that needs to be removed from office whether it’s by impeachment or the 25th amendment"

Steve, I'd put this part a bit differently: They now understand that Trump is *totally under control.* That's the problem and, as you say, Vance is part of that problem--he too is under control.

G1 Tim's avatar

shame about Vance, another huge let-down, along with Gabbard. I guess you could argue that they have to go along with the script to stay in the game for the next round, but its damaging them significantly.

ROBERT Incognito's avatar

Unfortunately, even if Trump is removed we will end up with another deep state player who doesn’t answer to the American people

Mark Wauck's avatar

That's the box we're in.

ROBERT Incognito's avatar

Yes. It’s been like that for too long. I was hoping Trump was different but alas, no.

Nutmeg's avatar

The third in line to be President is Speaker Mike Johnson. I don't see him answering to the American people and restoring a Constitutional republic.

Bob C.'s avatar

Johnson is completely bought and paid for by the Zionists (as is most of Congress) but he seems to be a true believer as well.

Texas Khaan's avatar

Probably not 3rd in line a year from now. Minority Leaders Mikey and Thune will be where they really wish to be. The R party cannot stand to be the majority. At this point I don't even care, a pox on the Uniparty's house and senate and administration.

Nutmeg's avatar

You are right that in a year Jeffries would likely be the House speaker. Of course, he blocked the bill to stock members of Congress from trading stocks while they are in office.

Mark Wauck's avatar

Just listening to a late afternoon video with DD, and he's saying the exact same thing. Huge potential downsides--for effing what?

aDoozy's avatar

The Netanyahu and Trump administrations have a mindset that sane and rational people do not share in any way. The N & T mindset--and that of their orcs--is a cult of greed, power, conquest, and pillage. To me, they are obsessed...and yes, possessed. I mean that in a dark spiritual way.

They are on a crazy train, and they are going off the rails.

Iran is their focus, their prize~and we normals are not on board.

Joe's avatar

" It’s true that Trump just imposed new sanctions on everyone in the world who does business with Iran—in other words, he restarted his trade war on China "

I have researched it over and over - many times - the concensus is a MINUMUM of 80 % of the tariffs are paid by US Consumers and US businesses - the lions share - if not more

This is from many sources including Goldman Sachs

As far as I understand China just does not care - another 25 % simply means US consumers will pay more - and these are items the US consumers want and for the most part need

Trump is punishing the US Consumer - it is very unusual

A. US Consumer pays

B. China/Iran Russia/Iran I have read or understand are using BRICS system not using SWIFT so Trump will never know much of the business transactions and will have to ' guess '

The whole thing makes no sense - Trump will have to make up guess/figure on what the transactions are and demand IMPORTERS pay the tariff - which of course is paid by US consumer/importer/business in part from

1. direct payment

2. increased price of consumer good

3. businesses reduced revenue means typically reduced workers and reduced worker wages

-------------------------------------------------

dissonant1's avatar

Yes, in general. But that China would have no concern whatsoever is doubtful, as the United States remains its largest customer for exported goods by far ($583B in 2022) and the costs to consumers will definitely have a large impact on the volume of goods imported. American importers of Chinese goods certainly will care as this directly hits their bottom line. American consumers SHOULD care (as you note), as the tariff costs WILL be passed along to them eventually and not long into the future, either directly or by threat. The mechanisms of banking transactions such as SWIFT and sanctions and currency exchange rates are factors that can be mitigated if there is the desire to do so. That will seems to be lacking and that is a very large factor in the costs of trade currently IMHO. It is also a factor in the devaluation of the Dollar vs. Gold and Silver - in turn evidence of a fraying fiat currency system.

Joe's avatar

agreed in part -- but the point I was making is

the point in the article

If Trump thinks this added 25% is going to stop all China Iran interaction

think again = China will keep the status quo trade with Iran regardless

of the ridiculous 25%

dissonant1's avatar

Yep, certainly a fair argument when it comes to trade between Iran and China.