First some tweets by a usually perceptive observer. He makes some points that are similar to those made by Valtersson, but goes beyond that toward the position Scott Ritter takes in a conversation with Judge Napolitano:
ayden
@squatsons
It looks as though Prigozhin may have severely overestimated the number of high level and ranking officials who would join him in his attempted coup. Hopefully it ends without to much blood shed.
7:25 AM · Jun 24, 2023
This whole thing still feels incredibly inorganic and forced. My gut is still telling something is wrong.
Also guys Wagner is driving on a road in a know direction towards Moscow… this would be going worse then a Ukrainian counter offensive if the government was actively targeting the convoy.
Also does anyone know to force accumulation? I’ve seen a couple tanks, technicals, and trucks but not a real sizable force. The convoy is at most what 1000-2000 guys?
From what I’m seeing almost everyone is siding with Putin beside a few far right units. This whole thing is beginning to appear like desperation.
Scott Ritter, speaking with Judge Napolitano, argues that Prigozhin is repeating Ukrainian and British talking points—he believes this identifies him as an actual agent of the West. Ritter sketches out a SBU/MI6/CIA plan in which Prigozhin is persuaded to advance toward Moscow under cover of a patriotic crusade to save Russia from incompetent and corrupt officials (Hey, I’m anti-Shoigu, not anti-Russia or even anti-Putin). Ukrainian sabotage cells will spread alarm and confusion leading the populace to welcome Prigozhin as a Deliverer (Problem: The FSB rounded up some of these cells in the last few days.). Prigozhin is persuaded that anti-Putin oligarchs will side with him and Putin will be toppled in a swift decapitation move (This also doesn’t appear to be happening, but it is fact that the West has pinned hopes for regime change on oligarchs).
Fact or fiction? There’s undoubtedly a lot of disinformation flooding the internet. Ritter points to one example, which he states is categorically false: That Lukashenko has fled Belarus. I’m interested in the relative silence, as I perceive it, of the official Anglosphere. Caution? Maintaining some semblance of deniability? I don’t know, but to my mind that could play into Ritter’s theory. I expect more clarity relatively soon:
I expect also that Judge Napolitano will be talking to his usual Russia regulars seeking that clarification.
Swag:
Putin knew of Prigozhin “coup” and gave him enough rope to gang himself, and accelerated tine with Russian Military taking more direct control of Wagner.
Putin is using coup, as Erdogen did his, to expose anti Putin assets, especially backed by Ukraine and MI6.
And timing was after Ukraine had stopped their counter offensive. There May be hope this will cause Ukraine to restart counter offensive, while they perceive Russia in turmoil. Russia hope is to get Ukraine to throw away more soldiers and equipment in a doomed to fail offensive operations, against Russian defense lines.
Just when you think the world couldn't possibly become more ridiculous, it tells you to hold its beer.