33 Comments
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johnycomelately's avatar

Seems like the global West’s strategy is simply to choke BRICs into submission.

Destroying Iran’s naval capacity and ability to harass sea lanes seems to be the order of operations.

Certainly makes sense of the type of US build up.

Ominously Task Force Scorpion Strike (one way drones) has been implemented at break neck speed.

aDoozy's avatar

Not long ago I read about the upcoming annual naval exercises close to Iran's shores.

The participants are the Navies of Iran, Russia, and China.

https://rnamedia.in/international/maritime-security-belt-2026-iran-plans-naval-drills-with-china-russia-this-month-as-tensions-with-us-mount/13366

Is this still a go? If it is, how stupid of the US to hover there, continuing the threat to attack.

Joe's avatar

Perhaps not to be overlooked

re: """ multirole sources have confirmed that the Chinese breakaway island province of Taiwan is deploying the overhyped and exorbitantly overpriced M142 HIMARS MLRS (multiple launch rocket system) to the islands of Penghu and Dongyin. """"

China - historically has not provided weapons nor military personnel to other countries

however, intelligence and diplomatic assistance - may now have forwarded certain defensive weapons to Iran but not certain about that - though defensive radar yes things like that yes

The BEST and biggest support China could give Iran would be - if there was a US attack on Iran -

to immediately take what they need in regard to the HIMARS and US expansion from Taiwan or surrounding islands

and it would be best for China too - the US at their weakest given Russia/Ukraine, Iran and then China - Of any opportune moment for China this certainly has to be at the top if the US were to make this move on Iran - and it would possibly strengthen the entire BRICS organization

US Overstretched on three fronts - China has to be thinking this - must be

Kinda waiting for China to make a move if the US is foolish enough to....

May be we will see

.

Joshua Osborne's avatar

I have to assume that a fair amount of effort by the Trump Administration is going into ensuring that the “get out of jail free” passes are in place prior to an attack, i.e. negotiations with Democrat leadership to guarantee no impeachment or prosecution based on starting an illegal war, which I also assume that the Dem’s are only too happy to provide given that they both serve the same masters.

Alex's avatar

Interview with Alastair Crooke: https://youtu.be/ZP6QOPsWDTM

* Israel sees Iran's missiles as the major threat, "making nukes obsolete"

* Israel demands either deal or war to remove nukes, missiles and proxies (i.e. Iran capitulation). Netanyahu gave Trump a window to negotiate.

* If terms are not met, Israel will remove support from Trump, attack by itself and force the US to join

* Trump knows that there's no quick win in Iran militarily, but is stuck, and desperately tries to force Iran into concessions

* US will have a hard time dealing with Chinese radar and targeting support

* China is aware that one motivation is to interrupt Chinese supply lines

* The CSGs' operations may be disrupted by Chinese and Russian naval assets

* Trump is trapped. A long war will end his presidency, but he can't stand up against AIPAC and their supporters. He tries buying time and looking for a "quick military action" to save face, but Iran won't do that again

* Iran knows the cost for themselves, but is at the point where they prefer a "trial of strength" to settle it once and for all, and expose the myth of US military superiority, over the status quo

dissonant1's avatar

Yep, Alex, I think this is quite consistent with Mac's views. It seems a "long war" (beyond a few weeks) is an impossibility for the U.S. given the supply chains and logistics and current capabilities. I agree that Iran, while not wishing escalation, would be well served to push this next aggression to its logical extension in order to forestall future endless cycles of aggressions. I am even more curious as to this dynamic given what is happening in Taiwan now. The leverage of escalations seems to be becoming more global now and less under the control of the U.S.

Alex's avatar

I do hope that people see reason, as it's always the innocent who suffer, but to paraphrase Blackadder: "in the end, it may be too much effort not to have a war"

Clyde Griffith's avatar

Why have I not heard anything about "Iranian sleeper-cells" in South America, just waiting to invade USA?

Nor about all those "Chinese military-age males" among the illegals making the trek through that mountain pass and into USA?

You bet I'm getting out my pepper-spray. Does it come in Asian flavors? How long does it remain active if I keep it on ICE?

The Elder of Vicksburg's avatar

this will be “america’s” suez moment on acid. The damage that’s being done to “americans” on behalf of washington’s paymasters is incalculable.

I don’t think there is any deep sinister aeons long conspiracy. (maybe just a 60 year one). stupid, amoral people who have let been conditioned to think they can get away with everything. You don’t need to look very far to see where that sort of attitude leads.

Joanne C. Wasserman's avatar

Right: "...think they can get away with everything." Trump doesn't read, but he did live through the Lyndon Johnson years of escalating men and materiel into Vietnam. Johnson, as President, was running the war out of the White House. Now Trump is doing the same.

Manul's avatar

“The U.S. military is preparing for the possibility of sustained, weeks-long operations against Iran”

Weeks? What if it’s months? Or longer? Are we prepared for that? And now the ghouls admit it’s about regime change and oil?

Are we prepared for casualties? Can we shoot down all the Iranian missiles before they reach their targets? What if Iran decides to target the population in Israel rather than military assets? What if they decide to target the nuclear research facilities? Will a direct hit mean the spread of radioactive materials? What if China decides this is an opportune time to take Taiwan?

Does Trump have a plan for any of this?

Alex's avatar

The US used to be on the "two MRC (major regional conflict)" standard, i.e. they expected their military to be able to fight two major conflicts (Iraq war level) anywhere in the world simultaneously.

That had been dialled down in the 2000s towards "fight one, and deter everyone else". The new national security strategy looks more at China and American continents. That said, think tanks like Heritage have called that out as insufficient for over a decade

https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/the-measure-superpower-two-major-regional-contingency-military-the-21st-century

and I've heard the occasional commentator from inside the US military that they might still consider themselves both technically vastly superior and capable of upholding two-MRC.

So we're either looking at the assessment that the US could "finish off" Iran in a week or two (a la "we only have to kick in the door"), or that China could be held back with military threats if it were to take longer. In either case, it looks like hubris from the outside, and reality might not sink in till the assumption is tested, in which case all we can do is pray to our respective deity of choice that it remains non-nuclear.

Or this is all a bluff, and Trump will ACO, but it sounds increasingly unlikely.

dissonant1's avatar

It isn't 1991 anymore.

aDoozy's avatar

I think that the combination of pressure to attack from Jewish Nationals, plus Trump's vanity preventing him from calling off his blustered threats, will result in DJT giving the word to attack.

The US bases,, Israel, and the US carriers will be hit by Iran right away. You can bet Iran's missiles are aimed and ready right now.

Iran won't want an extended war--they will want to let their attacking enemies hurt big right away--in an effort to HALT.

God help us.

Joanne C. Wasserman's avatar

Some more ominous particulars to add to your overview of what is a Trumpian death wish: Congress has embedded 38.3 billion dollars in a bill for building concentration camps in America---ostensibly to warehouse illegals who are in the process of being deported from US shores. However, DHS, ICE, Deep State, Politicians----everyone will pick and choose additional persons to be picked off the street and thrown into these prisons, for the crime of not holding to the mandated right-think behaviors........https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/02/trumps-concentration-camp-build-out-includes-nearly-40-billion-for-warehouse-conversions.html

aDoozy's avatar

Thank you for the article link, Joanne. I read it, then bookmarked it in my folder labeled ICE. The folder's contents continue to grow.

The heinous ICE detention centers are repulsive to those who learn wnat is really going on. Yes, Trump sinks further in his ratings because of this.

Arrest criminals and process them according to the law--whether US citizens or immigrants without papers.

Stop the sweeps!

Joanne C. Wasserman's avatar

ICE File, good for you! I made one for Covid science abominations.

dissonant1's avatar

I saw a MacGregor video today where his arguments agree with every point you make here. He has been posting multiple videos a day lately but they all agree on the main points: 1) The Zionists and Neocons and natural resource mongers want to take over Iran by removing its leadership and fragmenting it through ethnic fault lines - a la Libya or Syria; 2) The MIC is underestimating Iran's offensive and defensive capabilities; 3) Iran has already identified and can attack U.S. assets - via Chinese satellites - much faster than U.S. assets can attack Iranian ones; 4) Trump is under tremendous pressure from the Zionists / Israel Lobby / U.S. Congress to attack Iran. Mac thinks that Trump doesn't want to attack Iran and thought he was done with this last June but the domestic threat to him has only increased.

If Trump doesn't attack, he will be attacked by the Israel lobby - funding, et. al. But is that the worst they can threaten? What about his connections with Epstein? Even if they don't impeach him now (via the Republican Neocons) they will for certain try to impeach him after the midterms (via the Democrats) if the Dems win because of the general populist anti-war sentiment. Has Trump really thought this through? Or does he even have the room to think it through? Whatever the case he is thinking about himself and what Israel wants and not about what the American people want.

aDoozy's avatar

You are exactly right, dissonant: Trump, many of his cabinet and advisors, leadership in Israel and EU, are concerned about their desires--not the desires and welfare of the citizenry.

Alex's avatar

See my comment above, Crooke pretty much agrees with that assessment

Nutmeg's avatar

I'm praying the HW Bush fails the combat ready test. Knowing it has been already at sea too long and it has a lot of mechanical problems, what would it take for it to fail the test?

Alex's avatar

I think the Bush has been recalled, and they're sending the Ford instead from the Caribbean. Problem is, the Ford is already close to max deployment time, so there's another limiting window.

Iran has indeed said that they're going to go all out if attacked, as it's considered a "use it or lose it" scenario.

I don't think Trump wants war, but those who finance him and who surround him do, and Iran isn't backing off for now.

Nutmeg's avatar

You are right. As I kept reading down I thought the story was still talking about the HW Bush, but it's the Ford that has problems.

Marvin Gardens2's avatar

Ukraine: "We sided with demon spawn. Now our country is destroyed. and we lost our fertile male population"

Taiwan: "I want me some of that!"

Doug Hoover's avatar

Between China and Iran, The US Navy could be trimmed down in a matter of mins.

This is the Age of Missiles, not Battleships and Carriers. That opens the door for nukes.

Be the first one on your block, to have your son sent home in a box.

aDoozy's avatar

The War Pigs are ignoring Russia's and China's involvement and power-laden readiness to help their partner Iran.

The War Pigs are ruthless, and they are also prideful fools.

susan mullen's avatar

The oil industry is perfectly free to use their own money to take over Iran's oil. I'm not their slave.

hope4gaia's avatar

How can it make sense when we are being run by narcissistic morons who think they are god with

a little g?

Joanne C. Wasserman's avatar

Have you seen the video clip of a young guy pumping gas into his car, with the statement superimposed on top that reads "everyone just having a normal week after finding out celebrities have low key been eating children" ???!!!

Clyde Griffith's avatar

Well behaved women seldom make history. Carrie Prejean Boller made history in an exchange in which she did not back down from demanding whether antizionism is antisemitism:

"Member Of Trump's 'Religious Liberty Commission' Fired After Heated Israel Debate

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/battle-over-anti-semitism-definition-erupts-white-house-religious-liberty-hearing#google_vignette

"I'm Catholic. Catholics do not support zionism. Does that mean Catholics are antisemitic?"

--Most interesting for those who have been tracking zionist rationalizations over the years, is the rabbi's response:

"“To not support the right of Israel to exist which many antizionists do, while not taking that same stand to the 28 muslim countries and 13 christian countries in this world is a double standard, is hypocrisy and is absolutely antisemitism.”

Mike richards's avatar

Thanks Clyde, very interesting. To bend the knee to God ONLY is not wrong, and to stand for your country ONLY is not wrong, and to stand AGAINST racial, ideological or political supremacy is not wrong. And to have contempt for crybully conceited opinionated narcissistic denizens of a warped country is ALSO not wrong.

Mark Wauck's avatar

I viewed that exchange the other day. She was excellent. What was most interesting to me was the rabbi's need to dissemble. He tried to claim that only Jews among the nations are denied "the right to a homeland." We all know that's not true. Anti-zionists simply deny that Jews have a right to acquire a homeland by dispossessing and genociding another nation.

It's Just Me's avatar

She was received into the church in early-to-mid 2025.