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Alex's avatar

Interview with Alastair Crooke: https://youtu.be/ZP6QOPsWDTM

* Israel sees Iran's missiles as the major threat, "making nukes obsolete"

* Israel demands either deal or war to remove nukes, missiles and proxies (i.e. Iran capitulation). Netanyahu gave Trump a window to negotiate.

* If terms are not met, Israel will remove support from Trump, attack by itself and force the US to join

* Trump knows that there's no quick win in Iran militarily, but is stuck, and desperately tries to force Iran into concessions

* US will have a hard time dealing with Chinese radar and targeting support

* China is aware that one motivation is to interrupt Chinese supply lines

* The CSGs' operations may be disrupted by Chinese and Russian naval assets

* Trump is trapped. A long war will end his presidency, but he can't stand up against AIPAC and their supporters. He tries buying time and looking for a "quick military action" to save face, but Iran won't do that again

* Iran knows the cost for themselves, but is at the point where they prefer a "trial of strength" to settle it once and for all, and expose the myth of US military superiority, over the status quo

Joshua Osborne's avatar

I have to assume that a fair amount of effort by the Trump Administration is going into ensuring that the “get out of jail free” passes are in place prior to an attack, i.e. negotiations with Democrat leadership to guarantee no impeachment or prosecution based on starting an illegal war, which I also assume that the Dem’s are only too happy to provide given that they both serve the same masters.

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