Not Just Oldies
As I tried to explain in Great Explanation: Exponential Curve V. Logistic Curve , highly infectious diseases tend to grow exponentially until they meet a not entirely predictable "inflection point," when logistical problems slow the rate of growth. Before exponential increase sets in everything seems to be fine--until suddenly it's not . Much of Western Europe--and possibly the United States--appears to be in much the same situation that China was at the beginning of January and Italy was just a few weeks ago.
Poland closed its borders today. Other countries are locking down. Domestic travel controls are being contemplated here in the US.
For those wondering, Where did this stuff come from, really? Yesterday I read another long post at GreatGameIndia: COVID19 Files – Scientific Investigation On Mysterious Origin Of Coronavirus . The authors quote Chinese publications as well as articles in highly reputable scientific journals such as Nature and The Lancet . Western scientists, going back several years, have warned that the Chinese have been conducting very risky and unjustifiable experiments with viruses at Wuhan. This isn't to say that Covid-19 is a bioweapon as such, but there is definitely evidence that the origin of the virus is not so simply explained as being a product of the wildlife "wet" market at Wuhan.
And then there's this:
CX: FRANCE NOW PUSHING EPIDEMIC LEVEL. All restos, cafés, non-essential stores closed. MORE THAN 50% OF THE 300 #COVIDー19 CASES IN CRITICAL CONDITION IN FRANCE ARE UNDER 60; France has 4,500 cases, which doubled in the past 72 hours, said head of French health service. Replaces:
"Today there are between forty and fifty corona patients in critical condition on Dutch intensive care units. “More than half of those patients are under fifty years old. There are also young people." That says chairman of the Dutch Association for Intensive Care (NVIC) Diederik Gommers, in an interview with this site." -AD.nl
Covid-19 is NOT the flu. It is highly contagious. You are not immune.