UPDATED: Moody's Election Models
Slow news day. CNBC offers this: Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody’s accurate election model . Moody's does three different models, and comes up with a Trump win each time. Strong wins. These models have been wrong only once--in 2016. Woops! Here are the bullet points:
1) President Donald Trump will win re-election easily in 2020 if the economy holds up, modeling by Moody’s Analytics shows.
2) “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report states.
3) Three models show Trump getting at least 289 electoral votes and as many as 351 , assuming average turnout.
4) The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory.
UPDATE: Sean Davis succinctly states what's pretty obvious by now:
If impeachment were as popular as cooked media polls suggest, Pelosi would be rushing to put her vulnerable Trump-district Democrats on record. That she is so obviously desperate to avoid a recorded vote is a sign that impeachment is a political loser. https://t.co/JpbHmlpMCy
— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) October 15, 2019