Putin said near the beginning of the Special Military Operation, after Ukraine—bowing to Neocon demands—backed out of their deal with Russia, that the longer the conflict lasted the tougher the peace terms would be. Of late we’ve seen increasing indications not only that there won’t be any ceasefire short of Ukrainian capitulation, but that Russia’s territorial demands will be maximalist. The most recent statement comes from Dmitry Medvedev, considered number two to Putin:
This is the first time I’ve heard such a statement from the Russian authorities, albeit from Dmitry Medvedev: “The North Military District will continue until the Nazi Kyiv regime is completely destroyed, and there will be more new regions within Russia.” Do you remember when I said that they will say this sooner or later? Well, that's what they said. Now it remain to move on to action.
There will be more new regions within Russia - Medvedev He also stated that the SMO will continue until the Kiev regime is completely destroyed. First Volodin , followed by Lavrov now Medvedev is saying it. Clear indication that Kremlin made a final decision.
All of this fits in with the continued massive Russian military buildup. That buildup looks to be permanent, in response to the US/NATO war on Russia, but it also suggests a major offensive by Russia in the next few months (yeah, I know). The expanded air strikes, including in Western Ukraine, are another indication that Russia’s side of the war may be near a shifting point.
Judge Nap’s discussion with Larry Johnson and Ray McGovern this morning is worthwhile in its entirety, but this snippet is a gem. McGovern is referring to the aftermath of the US backed coup in Ukraine in 2014, so, the Obama years when Brennan still was Director, CIA:
Are CIA and MI6 Inside Russia? Intel Round Table w/Larry Johnson, Ray McGovern
[7:09]
Napolitano: Ray, does the CIA direct or control Ukrainian intelligence?
McGovern: Yeah, of course they do. Zelensky is really in very real term terms a puppet. He doesn't do anything without U.S acquiescence, at least usually, or permission. Now, right after the coup in Kiev, who went to Ukraine to tell the people what to do? John Brennan from the CIA! People don't remember that! He went, and that's when they launched this offensive against the Eastern provinces which didn't want to submit to the coup regime. So the die was cast. The interesting thing was that it was Brennan that gave them the word. And it's the CIA, in cooperation with Blinken and Sullivan, that pretty much run things there in Kiev.
[8:06]
That doesn’t mean that there’s no internal disagreements at CIA, but this is the real bottom line. Keep it in mind when reading what Seymour Hersh’s sources tell him.
On to Slovakia.
The election isn’t being called yet. Early exit polls had the Progressives (PS) winning roughly 23-21 over Fico’s Smer. But the actual tallies tell a different story so far. PS is has a solid lead in the capital city, Bratislava, but overall …
21 minutes ago:
Smer could finish first, analyst says
“Smer’s lead with 40% of votes counted is so big that my guess is that they might finish on the 1st place,” Slovakia expert Milan Nič told the Guardian.
As you can tell from the percentages, finishing first and forming a government are two different propositions. So, now most recently:
Current trends suggest a Smer-Hlas-SNS coalition a distinct possibility in #volby2023
SNS now looking safe (an 80% certainty on current trends). Still plenty can change.
For reference: List of political parties in Slovakia. Now, I don’t know what the rules in Slovakia are for getting seats in their parliament. Prof. Haughton seems to be referring to such rules when he says “SNS [considered far, far right] now looking safe”. I think he means that SNS has an 80% probability of getting seats in parliament by getting past he 5% election threshhold—that’s how I read the rules. That’s why, even though the Smer-Hlas-SNS numbers don’t add up to 50%, they could have enough to form a government in parliament. If the Leftist Smer and Hlas can team up with SNS. Don’t ask me. I don’t know nuthin’ about Slovak politics.
And then there’s this:
Sweden Turns To Military For Help Amid Daily Shootings, Bombings In Migrant Gangland Chaos
Last year Sweden witnessed its highest death toll from shootings on record, at more than 60 killed, with this year on track to possibly surpass that as the country's gang violence continues spiraling out of control.
At a moment scenes of illegal migrants flooding southern Europe from across the Mediterranean continue unabated, even mainstream publications like FT haven't hesitated to identify what's fueling the crime and turning Sweden's streets into war zones: "Police chiefs have said that Sweden is facing its most serious domestic security situation since the second world war as immigrant drug gangs engage in a bloody conflict," FT writes.
And there's even "child soldiers" in the heart of Scandinavian Europe: "Police believe the gangs are increasingly using children to commit the crimes, as those under 18 often go unpunished or receive low sentences from the courts."
Sounds a bit like Chicago. Actually, a lot like Chicago.
9m ago
21.54 EDT
Smer ahead with 90% of precincts counted
Populist former prime minister Robert Fico’s Smer party has garnered over 23% of the vote, far ahead of its rival Progressive Slovakia, according to early results.
With nearly 92% of precincts counted, Progressive Slovakia is at 15.84% and Hlas at 15.39.
Nevertheless, counting continues, including in Bratislava, where Progressive Slovakia is leading.
The Guardian:
With over 98% of districts reporting, Smer is set to take 23.37% of the vote. Michal Šimečka’s Progressive Slovakia came second with 16.86%, followed closely by Peter Pellegrini’s Hlas with 15.03%.
The election’s outcome is likely to further fuel fears about Slovakia’s future foreign policy orientation. Fico has vowed to stop military aid to Ukraine, criticised sanctions targeting Russia and campaigned against LGBTQ+ rights. His rhetoric has raised concerns that Bratislava could join Viktor Orbán’s Hungary as a more Russia-friendly voice within the EU and NATO.
...
Still, the shape of Slovakia’s next government remains unclear and much will depend on complex coalition-building with smaller parties, including Hlas and Igor Matovič’s OĽaNO.