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Ray-SoCa's avatar

Now we have both Merkel and former French President Francios Hollande confirming the us has been plotting a proxy war against Russia since 2014.

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2023/04/08/about-that-new-york-times-story-concerning-the-online-leak-of-u-s-military-and-geopolitical-intentions/

https://news.yahoo.com/putin-disappointed-merkels-words-minsk-140859136.html

Impact:

Russia will only accept a peace where they have demilitarized Ukraine., and taken control of all Russian speaking areas. Basically Eastern Ukrain. Ukraine will be landlocked. I expect significant Russian gains with 6 months.

If the leak is true, Ukraine will have major issues by end of May.

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Hal's avatar

WW2 was a great power war with comparable technology with advances in different areas by various nations. Russia suffered massive casualties as did the Chinese. They fought the bulk of the Germans and Japanese armies, respectively. We entered late and had massive manufacturing to replace equipment. Plus we supplied the Allies with equipment while they bought time and spent blood. It seems that in any future great power war there will be a mix of technological advancements by the various combatants. The Chinese are ready to be the arsenal of autocracy. The Russians are manufacturing and perhaps they will be the farm, fuel, and mines of autocracy. Will Europe be neutral or will they tell us that we are nuts and join with the rest of the ‘World Island?’ With a great deal of wealth and technology? How long until our ‘leadership’ understands that the Chinese will not sell us all of the things we need to fight the next war? Perhaps when their children are dying from infections curable if only antibiotic ma were still available. Antibiotics? Churchill had pneumonia during WW2. The sulfa was from a British company, using German technology. Would Adolf have filled the prescription? How long can we hold out without medications from China and India? Will we experience a post-antibiotic age? Will we have the will to fight while experiencing life without antibiotics? This is just one aspect of not having a manufacturing base. Can we even sustain our military long enough to fight for a year in a high intensity conflict? If we can’t have we lost deterrence?

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