Are We Approaching A Turning Point In The Globalist Crisis?
Are We Approaching A Turning Point In The Globalist Crisis?
Reflections On The Election In France
Today I’ll summarize—not transcribe—the remarks of Alexander Mercouris on the first round of parliamentary elections in France (the second round is rapidly approaching). Here’s the video, and I’ll place my summary below. The crisis of France has deep implications for the Globalist Rules-Based Order because France has been a pillar of the EU and that would be hegemonic order. The war on Russia to secure the Globalist future has backfired and brought this crisis to the fore, because it has led to the economic crisis that is bringing societal discontent to a boiling point in country after country.
The elite is scrambling to find an exist strategy—they see the looming disaster. Even if Macron can still somehow eke out a victory he will be in a weakened position. But the strong likelihood is that it’s all too late. Fundamental changes in the world order are in the offing, and America—which largely instigated the crisis—will not be able to elude the consequences of failure.
Bear in mind that what follows is a summary of Alexander Mercouris’ views. I’m not an expert on EU politics:
Macron did worse than expected in the first round of parliamentary elections in France, basically coming out neck and neck with the Left under Jean-Luc Melenchon. It is very possible that Macron will end up without a majority in parliament. This is a very big story, but one that the media is ignoring. The result could very well be a weak French government that will make it difficult, if not impossible, for Macron to continue his agenda.
Going into the election, Macron's party was widely expected to win a majority. Instead, Macron and Melenchon are at about the same level. Le Pen actually did quite well, in the circumstances--rather than being squeezed between Macron and Melenchon (with whom she shares policy positions), she maintained support.
My comment: The fact that Le Pen did as well as she did may be an indication of what Mercouris maintains (below), that Melenchon doesn’t enjoy broad support in French society, despite his good showing.
The result could be a "hung parliament" in which Macron has greatly decreased leverage in naming a PM. Melenchon wants the position, but that would likely be a bridge too far for Macron, since Melenchon's coalition includes the far Left--Communists, Greens, etc. Among other policy differences with Macron, Melenchon is vociferously opposed to France's role in Ukraine. France may be entering a new period of great instability, with a liberal, Atlanticist, globalist orientation no longer a given.
Bottom line: Macron won despite being deeply unpopular, due to ideological divisions within French society. The election looks like a popular maneuver to deliver a parliament that is pretty much guaranteed to attempt to block Macron's agenda. This will especially effect foreign policy and Macron's globalist positions, since the French president is in charge there--but needs parliament's approval for funding.
There was a record low turnout--fewer than half of the voters turned out. The French want an end to globalism and everything that Macron represents, but they weren't able to vote for Le Pen because French society remains mired in ideological/tribal differences left over from the French revolution. As a result, the French are more or less stuck with Macron--but they don't like him. But neither does Melenchon have broad support. Le Pen lacks the force of personality and charisma that would allow her to break through the ideological divisions of French society.
The overall sentiment of French society is becoming very clear. Consider: only 25% of a record low voter turnout voted for Macron and globalism, neoliberalism, etc. That shows how weak all of that is.
How does this factor into the overall European situation?
The government in Estonia has collapsed. The claim is that this is about inflation and not Ukraine and the war on Russia. There's also a political crisis in Bulgaria, with similar claims being made, but Bulgarians have never been on board with the war on Russia. Also the UK.
If Macron can't "sort out" the French situation, the entire EU--and ultimately the entire Atlanticist agenda--is in a very difficult position.
Nobody "mentions the war". But it's really what's behind all these problems. The sanctions war are behind all the supply problems in energy and food--the cost of living crisis. That's why the UK is in a political crisis, why the Italian and German governments are starting to fracture--the ruling elites have been lying to their subjects, and it can't be hidden. The war and the inflation it brought is what's behind it all.
"Shock and awe" sanctions that were intended for Russia--were forced on the EU by the Anglosphere--have shaken the European establishment. It was the worst thought out decision ever made--not surprising, considering it was a Neocon project.
Here Mercouris cites the article by Walter Muenchau, quoted by Alistair Crooke. The emerging consensus is that the sanctions are a disaster: "we" didn't think this through and "we" have to make a deal fast--a deal with Russia. The obvious problem is that Russia is in the driver's seat, the Anglosphere is bereft of effective leadership while still in the grip of fanatics, and the EU has no leverage over Putin.
With this context, consider this trial balloon that Moon of Alabama cited yesterday. The war--both military and economic--has backfired disastrously. Moon cites the position being staked out by the heretofore war mongering NATO leadership--hey, let's negotiate, let's do a deal!--as evidence that the Zhou regime has changed course, actually done an about face. With elections looming the US regime is scrambling to find an off ramp while concealing the fact that this could be another, but much bigger, Afghanistan. One constant: Zhou will continue to screw up:
What's in it for Putin? If Ukraine were the sum total of the game, perhaps Putin would be interested in quitting while he’s ahead. But for Putin, winning in Ukraine is just the start and he has no reason to be in a hurry. He has a very strong hand—if he doubted it at the start, he knows it for sure, now. Slow and stead will be his approach.
Note in Stoltenberg’s remarks that Ukraine is being told to sacrifice territory, independence—whatever. Anything it takes to let NATO off the hook it impaled itself upon. How pathetic is that? And somehow that will persuade Russia to stop winning?
Media Tune Down Ukraine Hysteria - Continue To Print Falsehoods
Now on towards real news: U.S. president Joe Biden has told NATO to end the proxy war in Ukraine as soon as possible.
This is the same Stoltenberg who in early April said that NATO must prepare for a ‘long haul’ in Ukraine. Who then said that the war could drag on for years. Jens Stoltenberg, who told us in May that we must put values over profits, is now talking about peace for territorial and sovereignty concessions.
It seems that someone has told Biden that there is zero chance for the Democrats to win in the midterm elections if gas prices stay beyond 5 dollar per gallon. Or maybe this Saturday NYT piece really got under his skin:
Should Biden Run in 2024? Democratic Whispers of ‘No’ Start to Rise.
In interviews, dozens of frustrated Democratic officials, members of Congress and voters expressed doubts about the president’s ability to rescue his reeling party and take the fight to Republicans.
Whatever.
Russia is winning the war. The Ukraine has lost the war and will also lose a large chunk of its territory. Its western fueled 'resistance' against the inevitable has seen to that. The U.S. and NATO now acknowledge that much.
And another dose of reality, a cold shower, from Doug Macgregor:
We’ll end with quick Twitter hits. Losing:
Do you get the idea that the world is laughing? But the joke is on us, and it’s not that funny. Prepare for a bumpy ride.
What do you think are the chances of a military coup in Ukraine for a real political house cleaning? The military above all should see the political corruption and national disaster produced since the overthrown of the government in 2014. I would think that being repeatedly told to throw their lives away while neo-cons cheer on the sidelines would make them stop and think. The end would be to bring Ukraine into Russian sphere as an allied state.
https://twitter.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1536800578868748290?cxt=HHwWhICxof7-59MqAAAA