A Mathematician's Evaluation Of Absentee Ballots In PA
Commenter Yancey Ward has, on another thread , been advocating for Matt Braynard 's analyses of absentee voting in the 2020 election. John Solomon has an article out today that offers support for Braynard, coming from a well respected academic mathematician:
In sworn statement, prominent mathematician flags up to 100,000 Pennsylvania ballots
Federal Elections Commission Chairman Trey Trainor says new analysis by professor Steven Miller "adds to the conclusions that some level of voter fraud took place in this year's election."
All of the ballots in question are absentee ballots, and Miller used PA data gathered by Braynard. Matt Braynard believes Professor Miller's study supports his own conclusions and is sending Miller the data that Braynard has gathered from other states as well.
You can read Miller's sworn statement here . Bearing in mind that the current margin is about 82,000 votes and that Miller's study pertains solely to absentee ballots and no other category of ballots, here are two key statements drawn from Miller's declaration:
"I estimate that the number of ballots that were either requested by someone other than the registered Republican or requested and returned but not counted range from 89,397 to 98,801," Miller said in the sworn statement provided to Just the News.
...
In addition to his two base estimates, Miller also offered two estimates with broader ranges and higher confidence intervals. "Almost surely, the number of ballots requested by someone other than the registered Republican is between 37,001 and 58,914," Miller writes. "Almost surely the number of ballots requested by registered Republicans and returned but not counted is in the range from 38,910 to 56,483."
Studies like these--both Braynard's as well as Miller's, plus others--are reasons why I think conservative carpers demanding EVIDENCE NOW need to chill. There are numerous anomalies and indicia of various types of fraud across multiple states. The public, as the Rasmussen survey shows, is manifestly distrustful of what happened in the election--and some of the dodgy recounts and other maneuverings are not increasing trust. Conservatives need to let this challenge go forward. It's simply unreasonable to expect hard results in a short time period.